
Quotes OnLine
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| Time | Country | Macroeconomic Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
AU![]() |
Reserve Bank's Board Minutes | ![]() |
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RBA release minutes of prior board meeting. |
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| 09:45 |
FR![]() |
Consumer Price Index | Feb | -0.2% m/m, 1.1% y/y | 0.3 % m/m, 1.1% y/y | - | ![]() |
Assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes in the prices of consumer items. The CPI is the headline inflation figure that indicates the strength of domestic inflationary pressures. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro in France , where each Euro buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most popular way to measure changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical French household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Euros to purchase this same set of basic consumer items. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
DCLG House Price Index | y/y, Jan | 2.9% | 3.6% | - | ![]() |
This inducator shows an annual prices change at the housing market in the United Kingdom. The Department for Communities and Local Government releases this data. |
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| 12:00 |
EU![]() |
CPI | Feb | -0.8% m/m, 0.9% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 0.9% y/y | - | ![]() |
CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Euro Zone. Inflation, simply put, is a decline in the purchasing power of the Euro, where each Euro buys fewer goods and services due to higher consumer prices. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Euro Zone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. As a rule, the Bank adjusts rates in order to keep Europe consumer price inflation in the 0 to 2 percent range. Core CPI - Euro-zone The CPI is also expressed as Core CPI, a similar measure that excludes energy and food in the basket of goods for the reason that items are highly volatile in price and can distort the CPI. Some market participants believe that Core CPI provides a better representation of inflation. The headline figures for the Euro-zone Inflation Index are a monthly and annualized percentage change. Note: The index is expressed in percentage terms with the previous year set as the base measurement year. For example, if the index shows 103% in 2006, the HICP has increased by 3% compare to the base year 2005. The overall Consumer Price Index data for the twelve European Union member countries is referred to as the Harmonized Price Index (HICP). Also, all Euro-zone price indices tends to overstate the actual level of inflation because they do not take into account the consumer's ability to substitute less costly goods outside of the CPI basket for goods whose prices have risen inside the basket . |
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| 12:00 |
EU![]() |
ZEW Survey (Econ. Sentiment) | m/m, March | 40.2 | 40.1 | - | ![]() |
Euro-Zone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment. Assesses future economic expectations for the whole Euro-zone. The results are summarized as the number of positive responses minus the number of negative responses. A higher headline figure indicates a positive expectation for Euro-zone economy. Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10. |
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| 12:00 |
GE![]() |
ZEW Survey (Current Situation) | m/m, March | -54.8 | -52.0 | - | ![]() |
A German Firm, the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about Germany 's economic situation. They ask experts to evaluate the current situation and to predict the future direction of the economy. For all components of the survey, responses are restricted to positive, negative, or unchanged. This simple structure allows the survey to be quick and efficient in terms of turnaround time, as well as easy to understand and interpret. German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment German ZEW Current Situation (Economic Situation) Euro-Zone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10. |
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| 12:00 |
GE![]() |
ZEW economic expectations index | m/m, March | 45.1 | 43.5 | - | ![]() |
A German Firm, the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW), queries financial experts throughout Europe every month in order to make a medium-term forecast about Germany 's economic situation. They ask experts to evaluate the current situation and to predict the future direction of the economy. For all components of the survey, responses are restricted to positive, negative, or unchanged. This simple structure allows the survey to be quick and efficient in terms of turnaround time, as well as easy to understand and interpret. German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment German ZEW Current Situation (Economic Situation) Euro-Zone ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Technical Note on Headline Number : The results of the survey are always presented as the difference between those experts that optimistic and those are pessimistic. For instance if 25 percent of analysts expect improvement, 35 percent expect decline, and 40 percent expect no change, the headline figure is -10. |
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
Housing starts | m/m, Feb | 0.591M | 0.570M | - | ![]() |
Gauges the change in the number of new houses built in the United States. Housing Starts are one of the earliest indicators of the housing market, only trailing Building Permits in timeliness. Because high outlays are needed to start construction projects, an increase in Housing Starts implies an increase in investment and business optimism. Finally, the Housing Starts figure gives insight into consumer activity, since new home purchases typically require a large investment for consumers. Given such connections to consumer and corporate sentiment, real estate generally leads economic developments. A sharp drop in new home construction is a warning signal of economic slowdown. Conversely, a rebound in the Housing Starts paves the way for economic recovery. Housing Starts data is differentiated by building types (single family houses, 2 to 4 residence units and 5 or more residence units). The single family housing starts is a more reliable economic indicator than multi family housing starts, as single family house building is driven by demand and consumer confidence, whereas multi family house building is more often motivated by speculative real estate investors. The report headline is expressed in volume of houses built. The figures are in the thousands of units. |
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
Building Permits | m/m, Feb | 0.621M | 0.610M | - | ![]() |
The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole. The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month. |
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
Import price index | Feb | 1.4% m/m, 11.5% y/y | -0.2% m/m, 11.3% y/y | - | ![]() |
This index reflects import price change per month. |
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| 15:30 |
CA![]() |
Manufacturing survey shipments | m/m, Jan | 1.6% | 0.7% | - | ![]() |
The indicator can signal about coming market expectations. Goods increase, including not sold reserves, means the market expectations, which lead to bears mood regarding CAD. Also, delivery reduction is considered as a negative (hug) factor. On the other hand, delivery growth is considered as a positive (bull) factor for the Canadian dollar. |
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| 15:30 |
CA![]() |
Labor Productivity | 4th quarter of 2009 | 0.0% | 0.8% | - | ![]() |
The average productivity level of Canadian workers. Labour Productivity is calculated by dividing the gross domestic product (GDP) by the number of hours worked, yielding output per hour, which is the key measure of productivity growth. The availability of better technology and higher levels of education among the workforce are factors commonly attributed to increased productivity. Growth in labour productivity is usually seen as a sign of a healthy economy because higher productivity allows higher output for a fixed population. Rising Labour Productivity can also offset inflationary pressures associated with economic growth and spending. Economic expansion attributed to increased Labour Productivity will not result in inflation, meaning that central banks will not need to increase interest rates during times of high growth. The headline figure is the percentage change in output per hour. |
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| 21:15 |
US![]() |
FOMC interest rate announcement | - | 0.25% | 0.25% | - | ![]() |
The announcement of whether the Federal Reserve has increased, decreased or maintained the key interest rate. The FOMC meets eight times per year to decide on monetary policy. After each meeting policy decisions are announced. The main task of the FOMC is to set the monetary stance by fixing the overnight borrowing rate, which essentially sets short-term lending rates in the US. Through this mechanism, the FOMC attempts to affect price levels in order to keep inflation within the target range while maintaining stable economic growth and employment. The Federal Reserve's Cash Rate Target decision significantly influences financial markets. Changes in rates affect interest rates for consumer loans, mortgages, bonds, and the exchange rate of the U.S. Dollar. Increases in rates or even expectations of increases tend to cause the Dollar to appreciate, while rate decreases cause the currency to depreciate. Unlike most central banks, the Federal Reserve does not announce an official target inflation rate, arguing independence and flexibility is necessary to implement monetary policy effectively. The Federal Reserve issues a statement with every rate announcement. Because the decision itself is usually highly anticipated, the wording of the FOMC statement is usually as important if not more important than the actual interest rate move made by the central bank. The FOMC statement contains the Fed's collective outlook on the economy as well as hints about future monetary policy while the change to interest rates is nothing more than a number. The statement provides clues on plans for the future. When it comes to interest rates, the future direction of rates is usually far more important than its current rate Ramifications for the U.S. Dollar Interest rate hike : The US dollar generally rallies on the back of an interest rate hike because the hike increases the yield offered by US assets. This attracts foreign investment into the US which tends to be positive for the dollar. The strength of the reaction will depend on how much the market has already priced in the decision as well as the whether the FOMC statement hints at more rate hikes to come. Interest rate cut : An interest rate cut tends to be perceived as bearish for the US dollar because the cut reduces the yield offered by US assets. The perception is that the economy has weakened enough that the Federal Reserve is forced to either reduce monetary tightening or increase the stimulus in the market to reignite growth. The strength of the reaction will depend on how much the market has already priced in the decision as well as the whether the FOMC statement hints that more rate cuts are to come. Rates Left Unchanged : The reaction of the US dollar will depend upon whether the Fed is pausing after a prolonged tightening or easing cycle or has been pausing for some time. If it comes after a tightening cycle, it would be perceived as dollar bearish. If it is after an easing cycle, it would be perceived as dollar bullish. If they have been pausing for months already, the reaction would probably be more neutral. |
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| Time | Country | Macroeconomic Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
AU![]() |
Westpac Leading Index | m/m, Jan | 0.5% | - | - | ![]() |
The index of leading indicators is a weighted average which is regularly calculated on the totality of leading indicators to predict the state of the economy. |
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| 01:50 |
JA![]() |
Tertiary Industry Index | m/m, Dec | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.9% | ![]() |
Evaluates the monthly change in output pro -0.5% duced by Japan's service sector. Japan's economy is very export based, because this report excludes manufacturing and only measures service industries catering mainly to domestic needs, the Tertiary Industry Index is a key indicator of domestic activity. The index incorporates data from firms involved with wholesale and retail trade, financial services, health care, real estate, leisure, and utilities. The report excludes industrial manufacturing sectors that tend to be influenced by foreign demand. The tertiary industry index is posted monthly as a percentage change from the previous month's figure. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
Claimant Count Rate | m/m, Jan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | ![]() |
The Claimant Count is the UK's most timely measure of unemployment. The report measures the number of people who claim unemployment benefits, but actively seeking work. The Claimant Count serves as a barometer for the health of the UK labor market. Higher job growth accompanies economic expansion and could spark inflationary pressures. The headline number is a percentage change in the figure. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
Average Earnings inc bonus | m/m, Dec | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | ![]() |
An indicator for earnings growth. The data excludes bonuses, which might distort overall earnings growth. A strong Average Earnings Increase figure suggests a wealthier consumer population, which leads to increased demand and consumption. Because economic growth is partly fueled by consumer spending, a high Average Earnings Increase may also raise concerns about inflation. The headline figure is the annualized percent change in earnings for the reporting quarter. The report tends to be insignificant, compared to boarder employment figures released at the same time. But sharp deviations from expected figures have been known affect the market.
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
Average Earnings ex bonus | m/m, Dec | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | ![]() |
An indicator for earnings growth. The data excludes bonuses, which might distort overall earnings growth. A strong Average Earnings Increase figure suggests a wealthier consumer population, which leads to increased demand and consumption. Because economic growth is partly fueled by consumer spending, a high Average Earnings Increase may also raise concerns about inflation. The headline figure is the annualized percent change in earnings for the reporting quarter. The report tends to be insignificant, compared to boarder employment figures released at the same time. But sharp deviations from expected figures have been known affect the market. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
ILO Unemployment Rate | m/m, Dec | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | ![]() |
The percentage of persons willing to work and actively seeking employment but who are without jobs. A lower Unemployment Rate translates into more income-earning workers and greater consumption. Increased expenditure accelerates economic growth, but can also heighten inflationary pressures. |
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
PPI | Jan | 0.2% m/m, 4.4% y/y | 0.8% m/m, 4.4% y/y | 1.4% m/m, 4.6% y/y | ![]() |
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product. A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price. Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market. Core PPI, Excluding Food and Energy The PPI is also reported without the volatile food and energy components. In addition to being seasonally volatile, the two comprise a significant portion of US goods. As a result, any sudden disruption in oil or food supplies will significantly distort the Producer Price Index inflation assessment. By excluding such entities, Core PPI is able to provide a truer, more consistent picture of US inflation trends. |
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
PPI excluding food and energy | Jan | 0.0% m/m, 0.9% y/y | 0.1% m/m, 0.8% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 1.0% y/y | ![]() |
Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product. A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown. The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price. Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods price do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market. Core PPI, Excluding Food and Energy The PPI is also reported without the volatile food and energy components. In addition to being seasonally volatile, the two comprise a significant portion of US goods. As a result, any sudden disruption in oil or food supplies will significantly distort the Producer Price Index inflation assessment. By excluding such entities, Core PPI is able to provide a truer, more consistent picture of US inflation trends. |
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| 15:30 |
CA![]() |
Wholesale sales | m/m, Dec | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | ![]() |
The value of sales made by Canadian wholesalers. Wholesalers sell to industries and retailers in quantities far larger than most consumers are willing to purchase. Given that growth in Wholesale Trade usually precedes increases in retail trade and consumption, changes in Wholesale Sales can be used as an early indicator for the overall direction of the retail sector, consumption, and the economy. The headline figure reports the monthly percentage change for Wholesale Sales, seasonally adjusted to account for variations in demand due to seasonal cycles. These sectors are farm products, food, beverages, and tobacco products, personal and household goods, automotive products, building materials, machinery and electronic equipment, and other products. |
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| Time | Country | Macroeconomic Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
JA![]() |
Bank of Japan monthly economic report | ![]() |
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The Bank of Japan announces its economic decisions in monthly report. |
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| 11:00 |
IT![]() |
Trade Balance | m/m, Jan | -EUR 0.123 bln. | -EUR 1.65 bln. | - | ![]() |
A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
Public Sector Net Borrowing | m/m, Jan | GBP 15.7B | -GBP 2.6B | GBP 4.3B | ![]() |
The amount of new debt held by the UK governments. In the long run, the public sector account must be in balance in order for the economy to be sustainable. If the UK spends more than what it earns, it must finance this budget deficit with an increase in Net Borrowing. Because budget deficits are generally unfavorable for the economy, growth in Net Borrowing is considered bearish for the Pound. Likewise, if Net Borrowing is negative, it means the UK is running a budget surplus and, rather than borrowing money, is a net lender. The headline number is the net borrowing for the previous month in billions of Pounds. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
PSNCR | m/m, Jan | GBP 23.6B | -GBP 20.0B | -GBP 11.8B | ![]() |
The amount of money financed to the UK government. A higher value indicates a worsening fiscal condition for the British Government as the public sector is unable to maintain its spending patterns without further financing. As with any economy, budget deficits are unfavorable and viewed as bearish for the Pound. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
M4 Money Supply provisional | Jan | -1.1% m/m, 6.4% y/y | 0.5% m/m, 4.6% y/y | 0.6% m/m, 5.1% y/y | ![]() |
The total supply of money in circulation in a given country's economy at a specific time. The primary measures of money supply include: M1, M2, and M3... |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
Mortgage Approvals | m/m, Jan | 62K | 65K | 49K | ![]() |
Number of new mortgages approved for home purchase by BBA-represented banks during the previous month. The BBA represents major banks that make up around 60% of total UK mortgage lending. |
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| 12:00 |
EU![]() |
Construction output | Dec | -1.1 % m/m, -8.0% y/y | - | 0.5% m/m, -3.1% y/y | ![]() |
Index demonstrates the situation in the construction sector, it shows output of products and business activity sizes in this sigment of economy. It does not affect Euro strongly. |
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| 12:00 |
EU![]() |
Trade balance (sa) | m/m, Dec | EUR 3.9B | EUR 3.9B | EUR 7.0B | ![]() |
The difference between exports and imports of Euro-zone goods and services. The Trade Balance is one of the biggest components of Europe 's Balance of Payment, and thus gives valuable insight into pressures on the value of the Euro. A negative Trade Balance figure (deficit) indicates that imports are greater than imports. When exports are greater than imports, the Euro-zone experiences a trade surplus. Trade surpluses indicate that funds are coming into Europe in exchange for exported goods and services. Because such exported goods are usually purchased with Euros, trade surpluses typically indicates that currency is flowing into the Euro-zone. Such currency inflows may lead to a natural appreciation of a Euro, unless countered by similar capital outflows. At a bare minimum, surpluses will buoy the value of the currency. There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Euro-zone Balance of Trade. The report is not very timely, released fifty days after the reporting period. In addition, developments in many of the Trade Balance's components are typically well anticipated. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have been already felt during that month and not during the release of data. Despite these considerations, and because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data, the release has historically been one of the more important reports out of Europe . The headline figure for trade balance is expressed in millions of Euros, and usually accompanied by the year-on-year percentage change. |
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| 14:00 |
CA![]() |
Consumer Price Index | Jan | -0.3% m/m, 1.3% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 1.9% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 1.9% y/y | ![]() |
The key gauge for inflation in Canada. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Canadian Dollar, meaning each Dollar buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most obvious way to measure changes in purchasing power - the report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Canadian household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Dollars to purchase this same set of basic consumer items. |
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| 14:00 |
CA![]() |
CPI excluding food and energy | Jan | -0.3% m/m, 1.5% y/y | 0.0% m/m, 1.9% y/y | 0.1% m/m, 2.0% y/y | ![]() |
The key gauge for inflation in Canada . Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Canadian Dollar, meaning each Dollar buys fewer goods and services. CPI is the most obvious way to measure changes in purchasing power - the report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical Canadian household might purchase. An increase in the index indicates that it takes more Dollars to purchase this same set of basic consumer items. As the most important indicator of inflation in Canada , Consumer Price figures are closely followed by Canada 's central bank. The Bank of Canada has a target inflation band of 1 - 3 % and uses CPI and Core CPI as its principle gauge (the Bank of Canada posts inflation targets and CPI on their homepage). A rising CPI may prompt the central bank to raise interest rates in order to manage inflation and slow economic growth. Higher interest rates make holding the Dollar more attractive to foreign investors, and this higher level of demand will place upward pressure on the value of the Dollar. CPI Excluding Core Eight The Consumer Price Index excluding eight items which the Bank of Canada has deemed to have the most volatility from month to month. The goods omitted tend to fluctuate idiosyncratically and may distort CPI data. The headline figure for CPI is the percentage change in the index on a month to month and year to year basis. Note : These Eight items include: fruit, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, inter-city transportation and tobacco products. Changes in the CPI Excluding the Core 8 are recognized as a better indicator of inflation than the regular CPI. The headline figure is reported as a percent change on both the month to month and year to year basis. |
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
Current Account | 3rd quarter of 2009 | -USD 98.8 bln. | -USD 107.0 bln. | -USD 108.0 bln. | ![]() |
The Current Account summarizes the flow of goods, services, income and transfer payments into and out of the country. The report acts as a line-item record of how the domestic economy interacts with rest of the world. The Current Account is one of the three components that make up a country's Balance of Payments (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account), the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts deal mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a non-investment basis - tracking good and services. |
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| 17:00 |
US![]() |
Philadelphia Fed index | m/m, Feb | 15.2 | 17.0 | 17.6 | ![]() |
Survey conducted by the Philadelphia Fed questioning manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District on general business conditions. Conducted since 1968, the "Philly Fed" survey is an established report, valued for its timeliness, scope of coverage and tendency to forecast developments in the market moving ISM Manufacturing figure. Higher Philadelphia Fed Survey figures indicate a positive outlook from manufacturers, suggesting increased production. Higher production contributes to economic growth, which is generally bullish for the dollar. Results are calculated as the difference between percentage of positive and negative scores; zero acts as the centerline point. |
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| 17:00 |
US![]() |
Leading indicators | m/m, Jan | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | ![]() |
US Leading Indicators is a composite index designed to forecast trends in the overall economy. The index is based on ten key indicators known to precede changes in the economy. Though the index has a less than perfect historical record, it still is a worthwhile forecasting tool. Given the high volume of economic data, the Leading Indicators Index is useful by condensing ten indicators into one value headline figure. Headline numbers will be a percentage annual growth of the overall composite. As high values are indicative of economic growth, such figures bode well for the overall US Economy. Uncontrolled growth lead by this figure however may raise concerns about inflation and economic stability. Note: The indicators included in the figure are (in order of decreasing weight): interest rate spread, M2 money supply, average manufacturing workweek, manufacturers' new orders, S&P 500, average weekly unemployment claims, vendor performance, housing permits, consumer expectations and manufacturer's new orders for non-defense capital goods. |
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| Time | Country | Macroeconomic Indices | Period | Previous Reading | Forecast | Actual Reading | Importance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
GE![]() |
PPI | Jan | -0.1% m/m, -5.2% y/y | 0.3% m/m, -3.9% y/y | 0.8% m/m, -3.4% y/y | ![]() |
Measures the change in the prices paid by domestic producers. Producer prices, also known as factory gate prices, are those charged by producers usually before retail, consumer markets. Increases in German Producer Prices act as an early indicator of inflation, as higher producer prices may be passed to consumers in the form of higher retail prices. Rising inflation is significant, especially coming from the largest economy in the Euro-zone. German inflation will contribute to Euro-zone figures, and may be checked by increasing interest rates. The headline is expressed as percentage change in the Producer Price Index. Note: German PPI excludes volatile items, such as energy components and seasonal food, in order to provide a more accurate picture of price developments. |
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| 11:30 |
UK![]() |
Retail Sales | Jan | 0.3% m/m, 2.1% y/y | -0.6% m/m, 1.0% y/y | -1.8% m/m, 0.9% y/y | ![]() |
Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures. The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year. |
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| 15:30 |
CA![]() |
Retail Sales | m/m, Dec | -0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | ![]() |
Gauge for goods sold at retail outlets in the past month. Retail Sales is a leading indicator for the economy. Rising consumer spending fuels economic growth, confirms signals from consumer confidence, and may spark inflationary pressures. The headline figure is expressed as the percentage change from the same month last year. |
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| 15:30 |
CA![]() |
Retail sales excluding auto | m/m, Dec | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | ![]() |
Monthly measure of sales of goods to consumers at retail outlets. The figure is a significant market mover, valuable both for its timeliness and insight into consumer demand and consumer confidence. Consumer spending is vital to the US economy, accounting for more than two-thirds of all economic activity. Given that retail sales make up a hefty one third of such spending, the Advanced Retail Sales figure acts as a measure of consumer demand before GDP is released. The figure has its limits, though. For instance, the timely release of the report comes at the cost of volatility in the figures and significant monthly revisions. It is not unusual for the figure to come out positive one month, only to be subsequently revised as negative. Retail Sales can also be volatile due to seasonality. Additionally, the report has been criticized for excluding service sector sales and failing to adjust for inflation. Despite these drawbacks, the figure still moves the market on release, mainly because of the importance of consumer spending to the US economy. The Retail Sales figure is calculated as the total receipts of retail sales in nominal dollars based on a sample of stores throughout the month - returns, taxes and finance charges are excluded. It appears in the headlines as the annualize percentage change from the previous month. Advance Retail Sales Less Autos The Retail Sales figure is also reported excluding automobile sales. Given their high cost, auto sales contribute significantly to retails sales, comprising nearly a quarter of the figure. As a result, changes in automobile sales can produce high fluctuations in the retails sales report. Vehicle sales are prone to seasonal changes, thereby easily distorting retail sales trends. To provide a more accurate picture of retail sales the auto component is removed and followed more closely. |
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US![]() |
CPI | Jan | 0.1% m/m, 2.7% y/y | 0.3% m/m, 2.8% y/y | 0.2% m/m, 2.6% y/y | ![]() |
CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items. Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers. The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns. On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services. CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI). The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.
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| 15:30 |
US![]() |
CPI excluding food and energy | Jan | 0.1% m/m, 1.8% y/y | 0.2% m/m, 1.8% y/y | -0.1% m/m, 1.6% y/y | ![]() |
CPI assesses changes in the cost of living by measuring changes consumer pay for a set of items. CPI serves as the headline figure for inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. In terms of measuring inflation, CPI is the most obvious way to quantify changes in purchasing power. The report tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical American household might purchase. An increase in the Consumer Price Index indicates that it takes more dollars to purchase the same set basket of basic consumer items. Inflation is generally bad news for the economy, causing instability, uncertainty and hardship. To address inflation, the Fed may raise interest rates. However, the Fed relies on the PCE Deflator as its primary gauge of inflation because the CPI does not account for the ability of consumer to substitute out of CPI's set. Price changes tend to cause consumers to switch from buying one good to a less expensive-other, a tendency that the fixed-basket CPI figure does not yet account for. Given that the PCE Deflator is a more comprehensive calculation, based on changes in consumption; it is the figure the Fed prefers. The figure is released monthly, as either a month over month annualized percentage change, or percentage change for the full year. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account seasonal consumption patterns. On A Technical Note: The CPI includes over 200 categories of goods and services included, divided into 8 main groups, each with a different weight: Housing, Transportation, Food, Medical Care, Education and Communication, Recreation, Apparel, and Other Goods and Services. CPI Excluding Food and Energy - United States The CPI is also reported excluding food and energy; two of its most volatile components. These components are particularly sensitive to temporary economic factors like oil prices, natural disasters and seasonal affects. Consequently, CPI excluding Food and Energy provides a more stable figure, but at the cost of overlooking two significant sectors in the economy (together food and energy comprise nearly a quarter of the goods included in the CPI). The figure is the monthly percent change in the index.
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