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08.11.2012 11:00 AM
Elliott Wave Analysis of EUR/JPY for November 8, 2012

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Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 101.78               R1: 102.35

S2: 101.45               R2: 103.04

S3: 101.04               R3: 103.41

Technical Overview:  

We have now broken below the trendline support starting from 94.10. It indicates that the downside pressure will be building, but as we are in a corrective phase the decline to our ideal target at 99.35 will not be straight forward. As it can be seen on the chart above, we have now built a new base channel and to increase the downside pressure we need to break below it. If the rate breaks below the new base channel support line we should see a swift decline toward 101.04. However, there is a clear risk that the base channel support line protects the downside and causes a new mini rally towards 102.30 and maybe even 102.60 before the next downside pressure is seen.

Trading Recommendation: 

You should be short EUR from 104.50. Move your stop down to 103.45. If you are not short EUR already you should sell at 102.50 with the same stop.

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Torben Melsted
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