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07.07.2011 03:25 PM
EUR/USD Intraday technical analysis July 7, 2011

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The Daily candlestick closed around 1.4300 without being able to break it.
This level is a previous top (May 19,2011) which acts as a support for the pair.

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The price movement is trapped between 61.8% & 50% Fibonatcci Levels.
Bullish action begins to appear manifested in the lower tails of the 4H candlesticks.
Also the Oscillators are showing oversold signals.

Expected Direction:-
Fundamentally, All views are directed towards interest rates news about Euro.
The market is expecting the interest rate to be raised.
Technically, after 2 days of downside moevment from 1.4550 to 1.4300 without being able to break it
with the signals mentioned above, this indicates the end of the current bearish wave.
The expected next bullish wave is targeting 1.4360, 1.4370 then 1.4420.

Recommendations:
Today, it's not recommended to risk high % of your account due to the coming announcement.
As long as the pair is trading above 1.4250 We can take long positions around 1.4300.
TP at 1.4370,14420 then 1.4450.
SL should be 4H closure below 1.4250.

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