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12.10.2012 11:06 AM
EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 12 - 2012

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Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 1.5754                    R1: 1.5785

S2: 1.5715                    R2: 1.5840

S3: 1.5684                    R3: 1.5914

 

Technical Overview:

 

Looking at the rally of the 1.5700 low we might conclude it looks like a simple zigzag correction before the next decline lower, but we do not see it in this way. We think that we are looking at a series of waves one's and two's, which should soon turn into a series of wave three's much higher. The good thing is that we know exactly when this count is wrong. A break below 1.5715 will tell us that the rally of the 1.5700 low was indeed a simple zigzag correction and we should look for a lower low near 1.5684.
However, if support at 1.5715 is not broken and we saw but we a break above 1.5819 instead, then we have the first sign that the next powerful rally is underway; while a break above 1.5850 confirms that wave iii of 3 is well under way.

 

 

Trading Recommendation:

You should be long EUR from 1.5725 and you can lift your already tight stop up to 1.5710.

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Torben Melsted
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