empty
 
 
06.12.2018 12:26 PM
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/JPY for December 6, 2018

AUD/JPY is currently residing below 82.00 area amid the impulsive bearish pressure which pushed the price lower after a bounce off the 84.00 area with a daily close. AUD has been hurt by some sour data. Thus, AUD has lost in value a lot. Japan is trying to bring back stability to its financial sector as well as steady economic growth.

Citing Deputy Governor Debelle's speech today, Australia's central bank has room to cut policy rates from current record lows although the next move is still likely to be an increase rather than a decrease. The disappointing comment from Debelle triggered strong bearish pressure in the pair. On the other hand, Japan is showing steady economic growth. Recently Australia's GDP report was published with a decrease to 0.3% from the previous value of 0.9% which was expected to be at 0.6% and AIG Service Index increased to 55.1 from the previous figure of 51.1. Today Australia's Retail Sales report was published with an increase to 0.3% as expected from the previous value of 0.1% and Trade Balance surplus contracted to 2.32B from the previous figure of 2.94B which was expected to increase to 3.10B. As a result, AUD went into a nosedive. Another reason behind weakness in AUD is the risk aversion sentiment as traders resumed fears that the US and China might reignite the trade dispute.

On the other hand, today Bank of Japan's Governor Kuroda dismissed the chance of a near-term rate hike because raising rates may hamper the process of reaching the target inflation level of 2% which is around the corner. Kuroda stated that raising interest rate may be beneficial to the domestic economy, but monetary tightening is going the hurt the economy in the long run. Monetary Base report revealed an increase to 6.1% from the previous value of 5.9% which was expected to decrease to 5.7%. The positive market sentiment encouraged consistent JPY gains. Tomorrow, Japan's Household Spending report is going to be published which is expected to increase to 1.2% from the previous value of -1.6% and Average Cash Earnings is expected to increase to 1.0% from the previous value of 0.8%.

Meanwhile, JPY is likely to sustain the gains amid optimistic expectation of the upcoming economic reports. On the other hand, AUD is affected by the risk aversion sentiment and weak economic reports that may lead to further weakness of AUD. If Japan presents better-than-expected economic data, the AUD/JPY will carry on with the downward trajectory.

Now let us look at the technical view. The price is currently quite impulsive amid the bearish pressure, leading the price below 82.00. On the back of the current price formation, the price is expected to pull back towards 82.00 area before pushing much lower 80.00 and later towards 78.50 area. As the price remains below 84.00 area, the bearish bias is expected to continue further in the coming days.

SUPPORT: 78.50, 80.00

RESISTANCE: 82.00, 84.00

BIAS: BEARISH

MOMENTUM: IMPULSIVE and VOLATILE

This image is no longer relevant

InstaForex Analyst,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2025
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $1,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في يناير نحن نقدم باليانصيب $1,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback