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18.06.2019 10:08 AM
Simplified wave analysis and forecast for GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and AUD/USD on June 18

GBP/USD

The direction of the short-term price trend of the British pound major is set by the bearish wave of May 3. On the chart of a larger TF, this section completes the wave model. The counter correction could not exceed the minimum level of elongation. Since June 7, a new section of the main trend is formed. The price reached the upper limit of a wide potential reversal zone of a large TF.

Forecast:

From the calculated support zone today, there is a high probability of the formation of a counter price movement. The upper limit of the daily course of the pair is the resistance zone.

Recommendations:

Today, in the morning, it may be relevant to buy a pair. It is necessary to take into account the correctional nature of the rise and the probability of sharp reversals. When the price reaches the resistance zone, you should start tracking the reversal to find the signals of selling the pair.

Resistance zone:

- 1.2580/1.2610

Support zone:

- 1.2520/1.2490

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USD/CHF

On the chart of the Swiss franc, the trend wave is counting from April 23. From June 5, a bullish wave with a correction potential is formed. The wave has reached the minimum target elongation level, but its structure does not look complete. Since yesterday, the price moves in a flat, forming a rollback.

Forecast:

At the next trading sessions, it is expected to continue the flat mood of the movement, until its full completion. A change of course is most likely in the area of settlement support. The resumption of the price rise can be expected at the end of the day or tomorrow.

Recommendations:

When selling a pair today, you should be careful. The potential of the price move down is small, and the volatility at the turn can increase sharply. In the area of the support zone, it is recommended to track the signals of your vehicle for the purchase of the instrument.

Resistance zone:

- 1.0020/1.0050

Support zone:

- 0.9960/0.9930

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AUD/USD

On the chart of the Australian dollar since April 17, there is a clear downward zigzag. The final part is counting from June 7. The price has reached the upper limit of a powerful support zone of a large scale.

Forecast:

Today, the completion of the bearish rate, the formation of a reversal and the beginning of an upward wave are expected, which can be a correction of the last section of the trend.

Recommendations:

For sales of "Aussie" today, the potential has been exhausted. In the area of the support zone, a supporter of intraday trade can make short-term purchases. For trading larger areas, it is recommended to wait out the period of price rise outside the market.

Resistance zone:

- 0.6890/0.6920

Support zone:

- 0.6840/0.6810

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Explanations to the figures: Waves in the simplified wave analysis consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The last unfinished wave is analyzed. Zones show areas with the highest probability of reversal. The arrows indicate the wave marking according to the method used by the author, the solid background is the formed structure, the dotted ones are the expected movements.

Note: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of tool movements over time.

Isabel Clark,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
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