empty
 
 
29.09.2021 07:10 AM
MIT conducts study to find out which investors more likely to panic and sell stocks

We are used to thinking that our decision is influenced only by facts and some pieces of crucial information. Taking them into account, we are more likely to make the correct decision. Is it really so?

This image is no longer relevant

Researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology have conducted a study on the demographics of people that feverishly sell stocks during a market crash.

As it turns out, investors who are male over the age of 45, married, or consider themselves as having "excellent investment experience" are more likely to freak out and dump their portfolios during a downturn. These are the conclusions of the research published last month. Overall, researchers have analyzed more than 600,000 brokerage accounts.

In the study, the researchers defined a panic sale as a drop of 90% of a household account's equity assets within one month. Notably, 50% or more is related to trades.

"Financial advisors have long advised their clients to stay calm and weather any passing financial storm in their portfolios. Despite this, a percentage of investors tend to freak out and sell off a large portion of their risky assets," Daniel Elkind, Kathryn Kaminski, Andrew Lo, and colleagues wrote.

The latest and previous studies have shown that people are better off keeping a broadly diversified portfolio. Nevertheless, the prospects of wealth and the fear of losing it lead to hectic trading patterns.

"Panic sales are not random events." The researchers said that they could identify clear trends in the data. They found out that specific types of investors, e.g. those with less than $20,000 in their portfolio, are also willing to liquidate more often.

"Subtle patterns in portfolio history, past market movements, and demographic profile can be exploited by deep neural networks to accurately predict if an investor will panic sell in the near future," they pointed out.

Extreme emotional swings of an investor in the stock market have long fascinated behavioral scientists.

At the same time, researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology did not study why exactly investors are panic-selling. Any trader has at least once experienced such feelings as a strong fear and desire to give up and leave the market at critical moments. In any case, it makes sense to study the Diamond Hand strategy and apply it depending on the situation. It is better to come up with a good strategy amid quickly changing trading conditions, namely the tightening of monetary policy and rising energy prices. Some analysts warn that this winter, many sectors may face certain pressure. Some signs of the coming storm can be seen in China.

The researchers assume their work can be used to develop predictive models, which may help identify individuals at risk of panic selling.

Yet, it would be wise to rely on objective data and various types of information. As for psychology, panic occurs when there is a lack of external information. Knowledge of the laws of the market will help calm down at a critical moment and keep assets in the portfolio.

Notably, when the panic has started, it is usually too late to sell. Therefore, if traders miss this moment, it is better to look through your traders and wait for the moment when the panic subsides. At least if you manage your portfolio correctly, some of the assets will always keep the balance. Some of the new ones can be purchased at the peak of the sell-off.

The research shows that the market is not a place for easily panicking people. The ability to control oneself and think soberly in the most stressful situation is the most important skill that determines market leaders.

Egor Danilov,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2024
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $10,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في ديسمبر نحن نقدم باليانصيب $10,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback