empty
15.03.2021 11:30 AM
Beijing is accelerating, but Chinese enterprise stocks are falling. Zheng Chengyu says "We're popping bubbles."

News is coming out from Beijing that China has overcome the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, or at least is succeeding well as the superpower's economy recovers at an accelerated pace.

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the government of the People's Republic of China published the main reports for February, including data on industrial production, investment in fixed assets, retail sales, as well as indicators of the unemployment rate.

Experts noted that while the reliability of the figures was affected by the low base after the 2020 recession, they are still impressive.

Thus, the production of all industries in the aggregate increased by 35.1% compared to the data of the previous year. In comparison with December, this figure is 27.8% higher. This is as much as 30% more than the predicted level according to analysts ' surveys conducted annually by Reuters.

Retail sales increased by 33.8%, which is higher than the forecast of 32% and 29.2% higher than the December level. Last year, the Republic of China closed January and February with a 20.5% reduction.

This image is no longer relevant

Louis Kuijs, head of Asian Economics at Oxford Economics says: "We forecast positive growth in exports and investments in manufacturing enterprises this year... Private household consumption is expected to be a boost from the second quarter... as government travel restrictions ease."

China's ability to quickly recover from the coronavirus pandemic is impressive to analysts. In 2020, the Chinese economy was the only one that showed an annual growth of 2.3% of GDP.

Exports reached a record high in February, and producer prices show the highest figures since 2018.

Economists at Oxford Economics argue that such gains were made possible by strong, sustained foreign trade, pent-up demand, and government incentives to producers.

Usually, the data on the Chinese economy for January - February are distorted due to the celebration of the New Year on the lunar calendar, which falls in February.

At the same time, Chinese indices are falling. This is due to concerns of industrialists about the tightening of the regulatory policy of the authorities. Paradoxically, the excess of indicators in the PRC often causes reduction, so it is expected to tighten policy and limit subsidies in connection with the coronavirus.

This image is no longer relevant

The blue-chip CSI300 fell 3% and then dropped another 2.2% to 5,035.54 points, while the Shanghai Composite fell 1% to 3,419.95 points.

The CSI300 index is in the correction corridor, down to 15% from a high of 5,922.02 points, which was recorded recently.

The most affected were the CSI300 Consumer Goods Index (-3.8%), the CSI300 Health Care Index (-4.2%) and the CSI New Energy Index (-3.9%).

Zhang Chengyu, a Beijing-based hedge fund manager, called the process "a preemptive collapse of bubbles through frothy valuations, including by limiting lending in the equity and real estate markets, and by giving individual hints on such stocks within the market."

On account of hopes for the recovery of the region's economy, shares of Asian companies except for Chinese, Filipino and Indian, are gaining. Asian currencies are also rising especially the Taiwanese baht and the Taiwanese dollar.

Shares of Philippine companies are declining amid reports of an increase in the number of cases of coronavirus. During Monday's session, they fell by more than 3%.

Shares of enterprises in South Korea and Japan are steadily growing. So, the Nikkei index rose by 0.3% or to 29,806.41 (2:19 to 29,806.41 GMT). Thus, the capitalization of the shipbuilding company Mitsui E&S Holdings added 7.22%, Kawasaki Kisen and Nippon Yusen by 3.96% and 4.31% respectively. Steelmaker JFE Holdings increased its capitalization by 3.39%, while industrial conglomerate Kawasaki Heavy Industries added 3.96%

The shares of e-commerce Rakuten rose to 18% after announcing a merger with postal conglomerate Japan Post Holdings, making it the largest capital in the Nikkei. Japan's postal organization added 1.71%.

Among the Topix top 30 leaders, Honda Motor showed the largest increase, which increased by 3.42%, followed by Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, which added 3.21%.

At the same time, the fall of the Nasdaq on Friday was reflected in the Asian market. Shares of most technology companies fell on Monday.

Nikkei SoftBank Group shares went up by 1.36%. Tokyo Electron shares were down by 0.78% and Advantest was down by 0.8%.

South Korea's KOSPI rose 0.11% to 3,054.39 by 02:35 GMT. This is the third session that the South Korean market brings to a plus. The Won is declining, but benchmark bond yields are rising.

Among the tech giants, there are both those who added to the capitalization and those who lost it. Among the first are Samsung Electronics (-0.60%) and SK Hynix (-0.36%). LG Chem (2.44%) and Naver (0.26%).

The Australian dollar and Australian futures show a drop in connection with the news from the United States.

Shoichi Arisawa, the General Manager of Investment Research at IwaiCosmo Securities, says that today's market in Japan and other Pacific Rim countries is a reflection of Friday's US session. Investors are betting on cyclical stocks benefiting from the U.S. economic recovery helped by the approval of a huge economic package.

This image is no longer relevant

Now the TR Equity Hong Kong Index is showing a decline, but Japan's indices are in the positive territory thanks to a decline in 10-year bond yields ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy announcement.

At the same time, on Friday, the US market declined due to the inexorable rise in bond yields. It is quite possible to expect the same behavior in the Japanese market after the publication of reports and plans for monetary policy.

Egor Danilov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

Nvidia 創歷史:市場上升,公司市值突破 4 兆美元大關

週三,美國股市由科技股為主的納斯達克指數領漲,Nvidia市值一度突破4兆美元,加上美聯儲會議記錄暗示今年可能降息,為股市帶來強勁的收盤表現。 Nvidia在週三早晨成為首家市值達到4兆美元的公司,彰顯其在人工智慧領域的主導地位。

Thomas Frank 10:46 2025-07-10 UTC+2

7月9日美國市場新聞摘要

美國股票指數本場交易以溫和變動收盤:S&P 500小幅下跌,納斯達克100指數略有上漲,道瓊斯指數則進入負值區域。 投資者密切關注中國的動向,預期將有新的刺激措施來應對不斷增長的通貨緊縮壓力。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 14:03 2025-07-09 UTC+2

特朗普重返行動:50%銅關稅,對中國和歐盟的更多打擊

在美國貿易政策的一個新的急劇轉變中,前總統特朗普星期二宣布對進口銅產品徵收50%的關稅,並表示即將推出長期威脅的半導體和藥品的關稅。這些措施標誌著全球貿易對抗中的一個重大升級,已經擾亂國際市場。

Thomas Frank 09:49 2025-07-09 UTC+2

7月8日美國市場新聞摘要

由於對唐納德·特朗普可能恢復高額關稅的不確定性,美國股市顯示出抑制的動力。 雖然美國總統表示願意進行談判,但市場參與者仍然不敢做出激進的動作,並不期望S&P 500指數會有大幅度的修正。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:08 2025-07-08 UTC+2

亞洲貿易風暴:日本、韓國面臨25%關稅衝擊

在美國總統唐納德·特朗普加大進口關稅舉措之後,亞洲股市以溫和的樂觀情緒回應。同時,美國美元保持穩定,油價略微下跌。

Thomas Frank 10:52 2025-07-08 UTC+2

取消的交易,新信函——正邁向貿易混亂?6月7日至9日交易員日曆

象徵性地說,正是在 7 月 4 日獨立日,唐納德·特朗普簽署了他自己稱之為的「美麗的大法案」,根據白宮的說法,這將「履行競選承諾」。然而,現實中,這份文件可能標誌著财政不負責任的新時代的開始。

Svetlana Radchenko 14:07 2025-07-07 UTC+2

7月7日美國市場新聞摘要

唐納德·特朗普批准了一項立法,將新的聯邦債務上限定為5萬億美元,同時增加政府支出。 這份文件包括減稅和加強安全措施,但在國會引發爭議,尤其是在對赤字上升感到擔憂的民主黨人中。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:27 2025-07-07 UTC+2

Wedbush 的高級分析師 Dan Ives 評論說,馬斯克一直是 Tesla 最大的資產。然而,他對政治的深入參與可能會產生新的干擾,進而影響到公司的股票表現。

Thomas Frank 10:40 2025-07-07 UTC+2

S&P、Nasdaq 和道瓊斯指數同步上揚,市場消化就業數據與貿易發展

華爾街再創新高 美股周四收盤再創歷史新高。儘管短期內降息的可能性較低,但投資者熱烈回應美國就業數據意外激增和Nvidia股票持續上漲。

13:11 2025-07-04 UTC+2

7月4日美國市場新聞摘要

S&P 500和納斯達克股票指數分別上漲了0.83%和1.02%,創下歷史新高。 但由於對可能引入新關稅的擔憂,指數期貨回落,這增加了全球市場的不確定性。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:45 2025-07-04 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.