empty
 
 
06.10.2021 08:35 AM
GBP/USD breaking forecast on October 6, 2021
The UK's final business activity data provided support to the pound sterling. According to the preliminary estimate, business activity in the UK was set to decline. Thus, the services PMI was projected to drop to 54.6 versus 55.0 in the previous period, and the composite index was forecast to fall to 54.1 from 54.8. However, business activity in the services sector rose to 55.4 and the composite PMI grew to 54.9.

United Kingdom Composite PMI:

This image is no longer relevant

The pound could have increased significantly but the final PMI results in the US came better than expected. Thus, the services PMI dropped to 54.9 from a preliminary of 54.4. The composite PMI fell to 55.0 from 55.4 compared with a preliminary estimate of 54.5.

United States Composite PMI:

This image is no longer relevant

The pound is expected to incur losses today because employment in the US should soar by 415K. Given the current unemployment rate, a 200K increase would already be enough to show stable employment. As we can see, the results show that unemployment is decreasing and the US labor market is steadily recovering. The next important event will be the release of a closely-watched employment report by the US Labor Department.

United States ADP Employment Change:

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/USD pair has been moving in a corrective pattern for four days. The pivot point is seen at the support level of 1.3400. The pound has strengthened by more than 230 pips over this period.

Meanwhile, the RSI has almost reached the overbought zone on the H4 chart. This is likely to be the first signal indicating the end of the corrective move.

Based on the daily chart, the correction is seen as an integral part of the downtrend that started in early June.

Outlook

The quote has reached the 23.6% retracement level where the corrective move slowed its pace. We can assume that if the pair consolidates below 1.3565, the price is likely to head towards the support level of 1.3400.

Alternatively, the correction may continue if the quote consolidates above 1.3640. In such a case, the price may move towards 1.3700 where the RSI suggests the pair becoming overbought.

In terms of complex indicator analysis, technical indicators are giving a buy signal for short-term and intraday trading due to the formation of a technical correction. In the mid-term, technical indicators are signaling to sell the instrument.

This image is no longer relevant

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $5000 more!
    In November we raffle $5000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

推荐文章

现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback