empty
20.04.2022 11:00 AM
EUR/USD: euro avoids deep fall while dollar remains strong

This image is no longer relevant

The single European currency recovered slightly after a strong fall. Now it is trying to develop an uptrend. At the same time, the greenback remains strong despite a short-term decline.

The euro is mainly pressured by two fundamental factors: the difference in the strategies of the European and American central banks and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. In these conditions, the risk-off sentiment is getting stronger, thus putting additional pressure on EUR. As a result, investors prefer the US dollar which makes it even more attractive as a safe-haven asset.

The difference in the monetary policies of the Fed and the ECB supports the US currency. This is the main factor to determine the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair in the near future. The geopolitical instability is another factor that limits the upside potential of the pair. On April 20, EUR/USD was trading at 1.0820 after recouping its previous losses.

This image is no longer relevant

Currently, the euro is trading 12% above the so-called Death Cross chart pattern that has formed over the past month. Against this background, experts see a further decline in the euro/dollar pair in the short and medium terms. A rise in the 10-year Treasury yield is another risk factor for the pair that pushes it into the bear market. For your reference, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has recently reached 2.9%, its highest level since December 2018.

The US dollar seems to be more resilient compared to the euro. The greenback has managed to withstand both internal and external impact and maintain its leading position. Apart from the geopolitical instability, the current uptrend in USD is sustained by the upcoming monetary tightening by the Fed. The dollar also gains strength from the fact that it is considered a major currency used in international settlements. Experts are sure that nothing can threaten the dominance of the US dollar in the near future.

Expectations of higher inflation also support the US currency. According to Bob Schwartz, senior economist at Oxford Economics, inflation in the US has not reached its peak yet and could accelerate to 9%. In March, the indicator stood at 8.5%. By the end of the year, the inflation rate is expected to decline to 5%, the expert believes.

In this situation, markets will count on the Fed to take a more aggressive approach. The majority of analysts (90%) expect the regulator to raise the rate to 0.75%-1% at its May meeting. This step may help stabilize the EUR/USD pair.

Larisa Kolesnikova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

6月13日美國市場新聞摘要

儘管S&P 500指數持續穩步上升,投資者仍然保持對股票的熱衷,無視日益增加的風險和全球經濟的不穩定性。這種樂觀態度建立在對持續增長的預期之上,然而它也引發了一些擔憂。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:29 2025-06-13 UTC+2

美國市場新聞摘要:美中貿易協議提振有限,美國股市在6月12日收低

美國股市在美中達成貿易協議後收低。儘管有正面消息流出,投資者還是開始積極對多頭部位進行獲利了結,導致價格回調。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 16:31 2025-06-12 UTC+2

Robinhood 從 S&P 500 中移除 — 多米諾效應衝擊全球市場

Robinhood的股價下跌,此前該交易平台被排除在S&P 500之外。華納兄弟的股價在公司宣佈重組計劃後下跌。

14:54 2025-06-11 UTC+2

每日對比:日經指數上升,歐元下滑,全球市場屏息以待美中會談

特斯拉領漲,市場回升 週二,由於特斯拉股票的大幅上漲,標普500指數收高。投資者情緒受到提振,因為大家對於美中貿易談判進展的希望增加,預期將解決今年大部分時間對全球市場造成壓力的長期關稅僵局。

14:31 2025-06-11 UTC+2

6月11日美國市場新聞摘要

美國股票市場已達到預期水準,現在進入「靜默偵察階段」,投資者正等待關鍵通脹數據的發布。即將公布的數據可能會影響指數走向的基調,並影響當前漲勢是否能持續的前景。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:57 2025-06-11 UTC+2

今日對比:日經指數上升,歐元下跌,全球在美中會談前屏息以待

S&P 500 在週二的交易收盤時收於正值區域,這得益於 Tesla 股價的強勁上漲。投資者情緒轉向樂觀,因為對於美中貿易談判能取得建設性進展,以解決長期以來困擾全球市場的關稅僵局的希望重新浮現。

Thomas Frank 07:48 2025-06-11 UTC+2

利率上升:市場等待消費者價格指數(CPI),特朗普與馬斯克發生衝突,Qualcomm收購Alphawave

5月份的CPI報告預計在星期三發布。預算法案在特朗普和馬斯克的公開分歧中成為焦點。

14:05 2025-06-10 UTC+2

6月10日美國市場新聞摘要

S&P 500 和 Nasdaq 100 指數顯著上升,這是由於對即將到來的美中貿易談判持樂觀預期所推動。投資者押注於潛在的關稅緩解,這可能成為推動更廣泛全球經濟復甦的催化劑。

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:52 2025-06-10 UTC+2

Robinhood 從 S&P 500 降級 — 多米諾效應影響整個市場

美國股市週一交易小幅收漲,主要因亞馬遜和Alphabet股票的上漲帶動。同時,全球投資者密切關注美國和中國之間重新展開的對話,這是為緩解今年大部分時間困擾市場的貿易緊張局勢所做的持續努力的一部分。

Thomas Frank 12:49 2025-06-10 UTC+2

市場等待CPI,利率上升,特朗普與馬斯克交鋒,高通收購Alphawave

由於對唐納德·特朗普關稅政策的憂慮導致4月份出現大幅拋售後,股票市場強勁回歸。華爾街在週末結束時表現出色,標準普爾500指數 (.SPX) 自2月底以來首次收盤突破6000點。

Thomas Frank 11:49 2025-06-09 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.