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01.06.2023 09:41 AM
EUR/GBP 仍然处于低迷状态
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连续第四天,EUR/GBP交叉汇率继续下跌。这是在欧元区两个最大经济体——德国和法国的消费者价格指数数据背景下发生的。德国的主要消费者价格指数在年度计算中从7.2%下降到6.1%,与共识预测不符。法国的消费者价格指数在5月份也是负数,下降了0.1%。这与上个月的0.6%相比是一个明显的下降。因此,根据这些数据的结果,可以推测欧洲央行有权减缓货币政策收紧的速度,这被视为对欧元的破坏。至于英镑,投资者担心英格兰银行进一步提高利率的预期,因为消费者价格指数的数据比预期更强,这促使银行采取这样的行动。这些数据是在上周公布的。因此,基于基本面的数据,英镑相对于欧元具有优势,被视为降低EUR/GBP交叉汇率的另一个因素。

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但不要忘记,总体上美元的强劲上涨抑制了英镑多头的侵略性利率,并有助于限制交叉盘的损失。至少目前是这样。

上述基本面倾向于空头交易员,认为任何复苏尝试仍然可能被视为卖出机会,并可能很快失去动力。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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