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14.02.2024 05:54 AM
2024年2月14日-16日黄金(XAU/USD)交易信号:在1,982美元至1,990美元以上买入(超卖 - 4/8 Murray)
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歐洲交易時段初期,黃金價格在1,992.89左右交易,低於0/8的默里水平,低於21 SMA和200 EMA。H4圖表顯示XAU正承受強烈的空頭壓力,但可能已經在1月30日形成的下降趨勢通道底部找到支撐。

昨天,黃金跌破200 EMA,並在未能突破空頭通道之後,在美國通脹數據公佈後下跌。XAU/USD交叉盤觸及1,989的低點。這個水平上次見於去年12月,目前正在此水平上進行整理。

投資者預計美國通脹率將低於2.9%。然而,年度消費者價格指數上升至3.1%,超過共識。這對美元加強有益,因為投資者認為美聯儲將延長等待通過降息的貨幣寬鬆期限。

在接下來的幾個小時內,只有在黃金在1,982至1,990之間穩定上升趨勢通道底部,才有望從強烈的下行壓力中恢復。

鷹指標已達到極度超賣區域,因此在接下來的幾個小時或幾天內可以預期技術性修正,黃金可能達到2,005的水平(即日演算點所在位置),甚至可能達到下降趨勢通道頂部附近的2,024。

只有在黃金在1,990至1,982之間穩定上升趨勢通道時,我們的展望才會變得積極,可以考慮進行技術性反彈買入,目標設在2,000和2,012這一心理水平。

Dimitrios Zappas,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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