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17.07.2024 04:51 AM
2024年7月17日美元/日元預測

美元/日圓

從7月15日日本央行進行干預以來,兩天的修正幅度約達到38.2%。這已經足夠讓該貨幣對結束修正在下行趨勢中繼續走低,因為Marlin振盪器在下行區域顯得相當穩固。

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但是有兩個情況阻礙了從當前水平的逆轉:一是價格意圖攀升至38.2%的回撤水平以上,造成一個假突破,然後強行回落到23.6%的水平,隨後回撤到156.79的目標水平;二是價格計劃向上修正至50.0%的水平,同時測試MACD線(159.63)。

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在4小時圖表上,Marlin指標正移入看漲區域。這仍然是一個高於之前38.2%回撤水平的上升信號。價格可能達到159.63的MACD線,這與日內時間框架上的MACD線重合。如果價格能夠上升到這個水平,跌勢可能比超過38.2%回撤水平的假動作還要強。

最後,如果價格從當前水平繼續下跌,它可能會慢慢跌到156.79的目標水平。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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