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02.08.2024 04:53 AM
2024年8月2日英鎊/美元的預測

GBP/USD

昨天,英國央行將基準利率從5.25%下調至5%。因此,英鎊下跌了116點,雖然有點艱難,但還是成功突破了1.2755的支撐位,並於今早達到了MACD線。

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除了降息外,英鎊還受到相關市場的影響:標普500指數下跌1.37%,石油價格下跌1.41%,美元指數上漲0.26%。在4小時圖上沒有價格逆轉的跡象,因此我們不期望有強勁或持續的修正,特別是考慮到今天的美國就業數據發布。

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我們相信數據將支持美元走強和歐洲貨幣走弱的持續趨勢,這意味著遠離風險的轉變將繼續。美國申請失業救濟金的人數已增加到187.7萬人,預計為186萬人。7月份的ISM製造業就業指數從49.3下降至43.4,預測為49.0,這造成了今天非農就業數據疲弱的風險。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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