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16.08.2024 05:36 AM
2024年8月16日美元/日元預測

昨日美元/日元匯率上升了196點,消除了修正楔形情景的可能性。這大大簡化了此匯率對的實際影響,因為預計在楔形修正完成後會出現下行趨勢。150.83-151.23的目標區間似乎打開了,但價格在38.2%的斐波那契回撤水平停頓,而Marlin振盪器的信號線接近零線。

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反轉可能會從目前的水準發生,或是在假突破至斐波那契水準之上後出現。漲幅可能推動該貨幣對超過上述目標範圍,達到50.0%的修正水準,這與5月3日的低點151.87一致。若主要鞏固在148.82以下,將表明進一步移動至146.50。只有跌破此水準才會確認8月5日修正結束。

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在4小時圖表中,價格正在努力維持在關鍵的148.82水平之上。Marlin振盪指標也正試圖鞏固在正區域。然而,上升動能正在減弱,情況正接近潛在的逆轉。如果跌破146.50水平,則意味著突破了MACD線。這些信號將確認空頭的勝利。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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