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08.10.2024 04:51 AM
2024年10月8日歐元/美元匯率預測

貨幣市場逐漸從鮑威爾意外的「鷹派」立場和強勁的美國就業數據中「脫離」。昨日,美元指數下跌了0.03%,11月0.25%的降息可能性由93%降至81%,而維持利率不變的可能性從7%上升到19%。昨日,美國5年期國債收益率升至3.88%,而今早則在3.84%。

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儘管昨日(S&P 500)股市下跌0.96%,但美元現在面臨新的下滑理由——即將來臨的颶風「Milton」,這是一場預計週三抵達佛羅里達海岸的五級風暴(最高等級)。該州大多數郡已宣佈撤離。

我們預計歐元將進一步增長,突破1.1010阻力位後,隨後的目標位將是1.1076。在此水平上方的整固將開啟下一個目標位1.1186。

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在四小時圖中,Marlin 振盪器領先於價格上升。這可能表明它正在把價格拉升到最近的阻力位上方,儘管從1.1076水平進行回調是可能的,因為到那時候 Marlin 很可能會進入超買區域。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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