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12.12.2024 05:17 AM
2024年12月12日澳元/美元預測

今日報告顯示,澳洲失業率從4.1%下降至3.9%,使澳元突破0.6410的阻力位,進一步逼近日線圖中的下降價格通道上界。價格與Marlin振盪指標形成了雙重匯聚。

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由於澳元在過去10天中下跌的幅度超過其他貨幣(如歐洲貨幣),因此在市場反彈的情况下擁有相當的緩衝,尤其是在我們預期歐元和英鎊在歐洲央行會議後走低的情況下。第一個目標位是0.6482,這與23.6%的回撤水平相一致。第二個目標位是0.6570,這與38.2%的回撤水平相符,並接近MACD線指標。

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H4 圖表上還顯示了價格與振盪指標之間的雙重收斂。Marlin 振盪指標目前處於正區域,協助價格突破 MACD 線 (0.6420) 的阻力位。在此水平之上盤整將開啟通往第一目標 0.6482 的路徑。

如果價格反轉並在 0.6351 以下盤整,該貨幣對很可能會恢復下行趨勢,目標為 0.6273,甚至更深至日圖下降價格通道的下邊界。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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