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28.07.2017 01:36 AM
27/07/2017全球宏观一览

27/07/2017全球宏观一览:

英国二季度增涨数据符合预期。市场预计GDP稍涨,环比从0.2%涨至0.3%,而同比稍跌,从2.0%至1.7%。对GDP贡献最大的是服务业部门,季度环比从一季度的0.1%涨至0.5%(走强的有物流、娱乐和零售支出)。另一方面,工业产出在最新一季中跌0.4%,建设产出减少0.9%。

工业和建设部门的收缩可能引起对基础结构不稳和投资减弱的强烈担心,虽然对GDP调查数据的准确性尚有怀疑。无论如何,英国GDP增涨的总体信心依然脆弱,因为工资增涨不足将影响消费者支出,而这时英国经济的主要部门。在这种情况下,经济的其他部门走强将对支持总体增涨十分关键,并且最新发布的数据将引起对均衡能否达到的进一步怀疑。因此,如同之前强调过很多次的,最近令人失望的英国经济数据和通胀将让英镑承受更大的压力。

现在让我们来看一下欧元/英镑的4小时技术图。在逐渐走至0.8994的新高点后,价格正在反转滑向下一个技术支撑位0.8898。跌破该区域将打开通向0.8717 - 0.8754之间的下一个重要支撑区域的大门。

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