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20.09.2017 02:29 AM
19/09/2017全球宏观一览

19/09/2017全球宏观一览:

英格兰银行行长Mark Carney昨天引起注意,因为他提出要对英国退欧的风险评估保持谨慎。在2017年IMF的Michel Camdessus中央银行讲座演讲中,他在同事们之后强调加息可能在"接下来几个月",但将是逐渐和有限的。他还说货币政策可能必须"循序渐进地变化",因为全球均衡利率正在增加的可能性。之后他表达了对英国退欧后形势的担忧,因为他说退欧造成的移民减少可能在短期内带来"更显著的"通胀压力,但对长期只有一点点影响。总之,预期的英格兰银行加息只会在其他央行也加息的情况下才会出现,这意味着英格兰银行加息将是一次性的,因为一系列加息的可能性十分有限。

现在让我们来看一下英镑/美元的4小时技术图。该对在1.3464附近交易,处于超买条件,并且价格和动量指标见已经形成了可见的背离。对多头而言重要的技术支撑位在1.3270,跌破它是卖方再次掌控市场的信号。更大时间尺度上的趋势依然向上。

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