empty
19.11.2021 04:34 PM
USD/CAD upside paused due to better-than-expected Canadian retail sales

The USD/CAD pair increased as much as 1.2662 as the Dollar Index boosted the USD. Now, the pair dropped a little and it's traded at 1.2639 level. Still, the bias remains bullish, USD/CAD could approach and reach fresh new highs anytime.

In the short term, the Loonie could try to appreciate a little after the Canadian retail sales data come in better than expected. The Retail Sales indicator reported only a 0.6% drop in September versus 1.6% expected and after a 2.1% drop in August, while the Core Retail Sales dropped only by 0.2% versus 1.0% estimated.

USD/CAD Attracted By The Median Line!

This image is no longer relevant

If you remember, I've told you in my previous analysis that the USD/CAD pair could extend its growth if it stays above the 50% retracement level. Today, it has registered a major bullish engulfing invalidating its drop below the 50% level.

Now, it has managed to close above the weekly R1 (1.2639) level which was seen as a static resistance. Stabilizing above this obstacle may confirm further growth. Still, in the short term, we cannot exclude a temporary decline before climbing towards new highs.

USD/CAD Outlook!

At the time of writing, USD/CAD is traded in the red only because the DXY crashes. Also, after its failure to take out the 61.8% retracement level, the pair could come down to retest the 50% retracement level.

It could still grow as long as it stays above the 50% (1.2592) retracement level. Developing a minor consolidation here could bring new long opportunities. Stabilizing above 1.26 psychological level could signal an upside continuation.

The median line (ML) could still attract the price, this is seen as an upside target. USD/CAD confirmed the ascending pitchfork after retesting the lower median line (LML). A new higher high, jumping and closing above the 61.8% retracement level could signal more gains.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. May 23rd. Smart Money System Analysis

After the breakdown of the bearish structure, we witnessed a strong rally in the euro, which, as of now, cannot be considered complete. The new bullish structure remains intact

Samir Klishi 20:09 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Trading Signals for BITCOIN for May 23-27, 2025: sell below $108,700 (200 EMA - 21 SMA)

Bitcoin is trading around 109,369, bouncing back after reaching the key level of 107,500, which represents strong support for Bitcoin. If it consolidates above 108,700 (21SMA) in the coming hours

Dimitrios Zappas 18:16 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD for May 23-27, 2025: sell below $3,360 (7/8 Murray - 21 SMA)

On the other hand, if gold consolidates above 3,370, the outlook could remain positive, and we could expect it to rise and reach 8/8 of the Murray level at 3,437

Dimitrios Zappas 18:14 2025-05-23 UTC+2

XAG/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Silver is regaining positive momentum, maintaining control above the key psychological level of $33.00. The emergence of buying on declines confirms that this week's breakout above the upper boundary

Irina Yanina 17:27 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Forecast for EUR/USD on May 23, 2025

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair retraced back to the support zone of 1.1260–1.1282, reversed in favor of the euro, and resumed its upward movement toward the yet-to-be-tested resistance zone

Samir Klishi 16:39 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on May 23, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair traded sideways on Thursday but overall continues its upward movement. On Friday, the pair achieved a new consolidation above the minor resistance level

Samir Klishi 16:28 2025-05-23 UTC+2

Forex forecast 23/05/2025: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, SP500, Gold, and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 10:51 2025-05-23 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for May 23, 2025

The Eurozone PMI data for May, published yesterday, was disappointing. The Manufacturing PMI dropped from 49.0 to 48.4 (vs. expectations of 49.2), and the Services PMI declined from 50.1

Laurie Bailey 05:16 2025-05-23 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for May 23, 2025

Yesterday, the British pound closed at its opening level, which visually appears as a consolidation below the 1.3433 level — a level that the price is already attempting to break

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-05-23 UTC+2

EUR/NZD Forecast for May 23, 2025

On the daily chart, the pair's quote breaks above the MACD line after spending two weeks below it. The Marlin oscillator's entry into positive territory supports the assumption

Laurie Bailey 04:43 2025-05-23 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.