In previous posts we warned US Dollar bulls that the index was approaching key resistance area and overbought levels. Price justified at least a short-term top around 99. This week price rose as high as 99.39 touching the upper channel boundary resistance. However price got rejected and is now forming a bearish candlestick pattern.

Blue lines- bullish channel

Although technically trend remains bullish, we warned earlier this week that a reversal and a pull back are justified at current levels. So far price is forming a reversal candlestick with two more sessions left until the end of the week. The chances of creating a bearish hammer candlestick pattern are high. The chances of a reversal and a pull back are high. That is why we preferred a few days ago to turn neutral when price was at 99. A pull back towards the lower channel boundary is not out of the question.