empty
21.07.2022 05:27 PM
EUR/USD erasing today's gains after ECB shock

The EUR/USD pair was trading at 1.0182 at the time of writing. In the short term, it has registered sharp movements in both directions around the ECB announcements. Technically, the price action signaled that the upside movement could be over and that the rate could come back down.

As you already know from my analyses, the EUR/USD pair rallied only because the Dollar Index was in a corrective phase. You knew from my previous analysis that the ECB meeting is seen as a high-impact event and it could bring sharp movements today. As you already know, the European Central Bank increased the Main Refinancing Rate from 0.00% to 0.50% above 0.25% expected. Further rate hikes are likely to follow in the next monetary policy meeting.

On the other hand, the US reported worse than expected data. The Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and the CB Leading Index reported poor data.

EUR/USD Range Pattern!

This image is no longer relevant

As you can see on the H1 chart, the rate is trapped between 1.0269 and 1.0155. It could continue to move sideways in the short term before escaping from this pattern. Having dropped below the uptrend line, EUR/USD signaled that the leg higher ended.

Still, only a new lower low could activate a downside reversal in the short term. The 1.0173 - 1.0155 is seen as a strong obstacle after registering only false breakdowns.

EUR/USD Outlook!

A new lower low, making a valid breakdown below 1.0155 could activate more declines and could bring selling opportunities with a potential downside obstacle at the pivot point of 1.0070.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Why $65 for Brent Is Just the Calm Before the Storm

Brent is struggling to stay afloat, even as looming strikes on Iran and new turns in U.S. sanctions diplomacy come into view. Meanwhile, natural gas is currently in a bind

Anna Zotova 01:31 2025-05-15 UTC+2

Oil Lacks Confidence to Sustain a Rally

The oil market has come back to life: since the beginning of last week, Brent has gained more than 12%, and this momentum is driven not just by noise

Anna Zotova 00:21 2025-05-14 UTC+2

USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 9th (U.S. Session)

Trade Review and Guidance on Trading the Japanese Yen The test of the 145.31 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited

Jakub Novak 19:13 2025-05-09 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 9th (U.S. Session)

Trade Analysis and Tips for the British Pound The test of the 1.3255 level during the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly

Jakub Novak 19:10 2025-05-09 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 9th (U.S. Session)

Trade Analysis and Tips for the Euro The test of the 1.1244 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero mark, which limited

Jakub Novak 19:08 2025-05-09 UTC+2

USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 9. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades

The test of the 144.86 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move upward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar

Jakub Novak 09:44 2025-05-09 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 9. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades

The test of the 1.3342 level in the second half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already significantly moved above the zero line, which limited the pair's

Jakub Novak 09:44 2025-05-09 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 9. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades

The price test at 1.1312 in the second half of the day coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward

Jakub Novak 09:44 2025-05-09 UTC+2

Intraday Strategies for Beginner Traders on May 9

The euro and the pound resumed their decline immediately after confidence in the U.S. reaching trade agreements with key partners increased in the market. Following signing a trade agreement with

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:53 2025-05-09 UTC+2

USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders – May 8th (U.S. Session)

Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen The price test at 143.75 in the first half of the day coincided with the MACD indicator just starting to rise

Jakub Novak 19:30 2025-05-08 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.