empty
 
 
06.12.2023 06:08 AM
Dollar versus Gold: New Employment Data in the U.S. and Its Impact on the Market

This image is no longer relevant

This significant rise in gold prices was recorded on Monday, but by Tuesday, the situation had dramatically changed: the price decreased by 0.5%, reaching $2,020.29 per ounce. This decline followed the record achievement and a reduction of more than $100 in a single day, closing the market session with a loss of over 2%.

It is noteworthy that American gold futures also showed a decrease, falling by 0.3% to $2,036.30.

Experts predict that the growth that led to Monday's record may temporarily subside. This is due to uncertainties around the prospects of the U.S. monetary and credit policy. However, geopolitical risks may contribute to gold reaching new heights in the future.

Jim Wyckoff, a senior analyst at Kitco Metals, emphasized that the gold market has taken a pause after the recent rally. He also suggested that the $2,000 level might become a new floor for gold in the market.

Significant impact on market trends is also exerted by employment data in the U.S. Recent reports showed a decrease in the number of job openings in the country to a level not seen in more than two and a half years. This indicates that the rise in interest rates is starting to affect the demand for labor.

Thus, investors are eagerly awaiting the U.S. non-farm employment report for November, which will be published on Friday. These data may provide a clearer understanding of the future movements of U.S. interest rates, which, in turn, will affect the dynamics of both the dollar and gold.

The dollar, in turn, has strengthened its position, showing a growth of 0.2% and approaching a two-week high. Such strengthening of the currency made gold more expensive for holders of foreign currencies, which also played a role in changing market dynamics.

Traders are actively assessing current economic trends, especially the likelihood of a reduction in interest rates by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) in March. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of such a reduction is currently estimated at 66%. Historically, a decrease in interest rates is a factor that typically provides support in the market for non-interest-bearing bullion such as gold.

In light of this, experts from Commerzbank suggest that the price of gold may reach $2,100 per troy ounce by the second half of 2024. This forecast is based on the expectation that the Fed will begin the process of lowering interest rates.

Against this backdrop, there is also a decline in prices of other precious metals. Spot silver fell by 1.4%, reaching a price of $24.16 per ounce. The price of platinum also decreased, by 1.8%, settling at $899.80 per ounce.

Palladium, continuing the trend, also showed a decline of 4.1%, reaching a more than five-year low at $936.24 per ounce. This decrease highlights the overall trend of instability in the precious metals market, influenced by both economic and geopolitical factors.

Thomas Frank,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $6000 more!
    In December we raffle $6000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback