The US Dollar index has bounced as we expected from the 61.8% retracement of the rise from 93.10 to 97.80. But it has found strong resistance at the Ichimoku cloud in the area of 96-97. The upward bounce has reached the 61.8% retracement of the decline from a high of 97.80 to a low of 94.64. A bearish reversal looks very possible.

The Dollar index bounced as expected and is getting rejected at the cloud resistance and at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This is a bearish sign. This has bigger bearish implications as this reversal could be the start of a bigger decline below 93.10. If the recent lows at 94.64 are broken we should expect a move even towards the 90 price area.

In case this scenario comes true, a break below 93.10 will signal a move towards the 50% retracement in the weekly chart as shown above. The price should be pushed towards the cloud support and 50% retracement at 90. Weekly support is at 94.10 and resistance is seen at 96.65.