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04.01.2016 10:29 AM
USDX technical analysis for January 4, 2016

The US dollar index has started the year in a very defensive position as sellers push it lower towards important short-term support at 98. The short-term picture is mixed and traders should be very cautious as if sellers find no resistance from buyers, then we should not cancel out a move back towards 96.

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Blue line - trend-line support

The US dollar index is testing the blue trend-line support and the Ichimoku cloud support at 98. A break below this support will push the index towards 97, which is the next important horizontal support. Breaking below it will open the way for 96.

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The weekly chart shows us that if this week continues as bad as it started, we should be expecting the US dollar index to move towards the weekly kijun-sen (yellow indicator) support at 96.60 and maybe lower towards 96 at the upper weekly cloud boundary. Resistance is at 99 and it must be broken in order to have a confirmed bullish reversal with eyes on new highs next.
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