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30.07.2019 04:48 PM
July 30, 2019 : EUR/USD demonstrates short-term bullish outlook above 1.1115.

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Back in June 24, the EURUSD looked overbought around 1.1400 facing a confluence of supply levels.

Thus, a bearish movement was initiated towards 1.1275 followed by a deeper bearish decline towards 1.1235 (the lower limit of the newly-established bullish channel) which failed to provide enough bullish support for the EUR/USD.

In the period between 8 - 22 July, sideway consolidation range was established between 1.1200 - 1.1275 until a double-top reversal pattern was demonstrated around the upper limit.

Recent Bearish breakdown of the pattern neckline confirmed the short-term trend reversal into bearish towards 1.1175.

Fortunately, evident bearish momentum (bearish engulfing H4 candlestick) could bring the EURUSD back below 1.1235 which stands as an Intraday Supply zone to be watched for Intraday SELL entries upon any upcoming bullish pullback.

HOWEVER, Early bearish breakdown below 1.1175 facilitated further bearish decline towards 1.1115 (Previous Weekly Low) where evident bullish rejection was recently demonstrated on July 25.

That's why, Intraday bullish pullback was demonstrated towards 1.1175-1.1200 where a valid SELL entry was suggested in a previous article. It's already running in profits.

Yesterday, bearish persistence below 1.1115 was mandatory to allow further bearish decline initially towards 1.1025.

However, the EUR/USD pair failed to establish a successful breakdown below 1.1115. Instead, a short-term bullish double-bottom pattern was established around 1.1115 (Weekly Low).

The EUR/USD remains trapped between the depicted zones (1.1115-1.1175) where a bullish pullback towards 1.1175 should be expected in the near future.

Conservative traders can look for a bullish Head & Shoulders pattern being demonstrated as an early sign of intermediate-term trend reversal.

Trade recommendations :

Intraday traders who missed the initial trade, another SELL entry can be taken upon bullish pullback towards 1.1175 with initial bearish target around 1.1130.

Conservative traders should wait for a bullish breakout above 1.1175 for a valid BUY entry with initial bullish target around 1.1235.

Mohamed Samy,
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