विदेशी मुद्रा विश्लेषण और समीक्षा: 13.03.2020

13.03.2020 02:35 AM

Comprehensive analysis of movement options of #USDX vs Gold & Silver (H4) for March 13, 2020

Did the strength change? Metals down – dollar up? Here's a comprehensive analysis of movement options of #USDX vs Gold & Silver (H4) for March 13, 2020

Minuette operational scale (H4)

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US dollar index

The movement #USDX to March 13, 2020 due to the processing and the direction of the breakdown range :

resistance level of 96.85 at the lower boundary of ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks ;
support level of 96.50 on the ultimate Schiff Line of the Minuette operational scale forks.

The breakdown of ISL38.2 (resistance level of 96.85) Minuette, followed by breakdown of ISL61.8 Minuette (97.00) will determine the development of the movement of the dollar index within the boundaries of the equilibrium zones of the Minuette operational scale forks (96.85 - 97.50 - 98.15) and Minuette (97.00 - 97.50 - 98.00), as well as the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (97.80 - 98.20 - 98.60).

On the other hand, the breakdown of the final Schiff Line Minuette (support level of 96.50) will enable the development of the downward movement of #USDX to the final FSL line (95.40) of the Minuette operational scale forks and initial line SSL (94.75) of the Minuette operational scale forks.

The markup of #USDX movement options from March 13, 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

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Spot Gold

From March 13, 2020, the development of the Spot Gold movement will continue to be determined by the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of 1/2 Median Line channel (1639.88 - 1620.00 - 1600.20) of the Minuette operational scale forks. The details of the movement of Spot Gold is presented on the animated chart.

The breakdown of the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (support level of 1600.00) will determine the development of Spot Gold movement within the boundaries of the equilibrium zones of the Minuette operational scale forks (1603.00 - 1578.00 - 1555.00) and Minuette (1600.00 - 1573.00 - 1546.00).

Alternatively, in case of breakdown of the upper boundary (resistance level of 1639.88) of the 1/2 Median Line channel of the Minuette operational scale forks is an option for the development of Spot Gold upward movement to the initial SSL line (1666.00) of the Minuette operational scale forks and SSL Minuette start line (1690.00).

The details of the Spot Gold movement options from March 13, 2020 are shown on the animated chart.

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Spot Silver

The development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (16.550 - 16.210 - 15.850) of the Minuette operational scale forks will begin to determine the development of the Spot Silver movement from March 13, 2020. We look at the details of the development of the indicated levels on the animated chart.

The breakdown of the support level of 15.850 at the lower boundary of the ISL61.8 equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks is a continuation of the downward movement of Spot Silver to the final line FSL Minuette (14.750).

In contrast, the breakdown of the resistance level of 16.550 on the upper boundary of the ISL38.2 equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale forks, the Spot Silver movement will be directed to the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (16.820 - 17.120 - 17.400) and the equilibrium zone (17.250 - 17.470 - 17.720) of the Minuette operational scale forks.

The details of the Spot Silver movement from March 13, 2020 can be seen on the animated chart.

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The review is made without taking into account the news background. Thus, the opening of trading sessions of major financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders "sell" or "buy").

The formula for calculating the dollar index :

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.

where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of the currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6% ;

Yen - 13.6% ;

Pound Sterling - 11.9% ;

Canadian dollar - 9.1%;

Swedish krona - 4.2%;

Swiss franc - 3.6%.

The first coefficient in the formula leads the index to 100 at the starting date - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

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