The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2880 suggesting a decline. However, a break of this level will allow it to reach the upper limit of its channel at 1.2960.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals, but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1.2880 with the 1st objective at 1.2820 and then at 1.2800. A breakthrough of 1.2900 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1.2880 with the 1st objective at 1.2940 and then at 1.2960. A breakthrough of 1.2860 will invalidate this scenario.