Overview

A rebound in USD/JPY from 115.96 is still in progress. A further rise is in favor to 120.33 (support turned resistance). A break will target 123.74 next. Overall, price actions from 125.85 are viewed as a sideways consolidation pattern and we will hold on to this view as long as the 115.96 support holds. The consolidation pattern from the 125.85 medium-term top is still in progress. At this point, we are viewing it as a sideways pattern and expect strong support around 116.13 to contain downside. However, a sustained break of 116.13 will indicate that the corrective fall from 125.85 would extend to the 38.2% retracement of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 at 106.63 and lower.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.13; (P) 118.60; (R1) 119.15