empty
21.06.2018 09:21 AM
Global macro overview for 21/06/2018

We are closer to the holiday stagnation, which today may disturb the decisions of the three central banks of developed economies, although expectations for them are not excessive.

In Switzerland, the SNB is holding a quarterly meeting, but the regulator could easily take a break at least until the middle of next year. Despite the improvement in inflation data that went higher than expected recently and stays on the highest levels in seven years (1.0% YoY in May) and GDP (2.2% YoY in Q1), the bank has other issues on its head. The Italian political crisis stopped the depreciation of the franc and pulled EUR/CHF from 1.20 back to 1.15. Hence the SNB will certainly uphold fears that the franc is "highly valued". Finally, the SNB will do nothing before the ECB gives the first signal to normalize interest rates, and after the super-lasting result of the ECB meeting last week, it can be expected that the SNB will also abstain from hikes for at least a year.

The SNB is expected to hold the Libor Rate at -0.75%, with the lower target range at -1.25% and higher target range at -0.25%. The decision is scheduled at 07:30 am GMT, together with SNB Monetary Policy Assessment and Press Conference.

Let's now take a look at the EUR/CHF technical picture at the H4 time frame. Just before the SNB interest rate decision the market remains locked inside of the channel as the breakout above the long-term trend line around the level of 1.1650 has failed. The nearest resistance is seen at the level of 1.1656 - 1.1640 and the nearest support is seen at the level of 1.1486 - 1.1463. Momentum remains neutral and if the SNB will decide to leave the rates unchanged as expected, the price should continue to consolidate in the range.

This image is no longer relevant

Ringkasan
Segera
Analitic
Sebastian Seliga
Mulakan perdagangan
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

AUD/JPY. Analisis dan Ramalan

Perbezaan jangkaan mengenai dasar Bank Rizab Australia (RBA) dan Bank Jepun terus mengehadkan potensi pertumbuhan harga spot. Hari ini, pasangan AUD/JPY kembali pulih selepas penurunan pada sesi Asia dan berjaya

Irina Yanina 11:26 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Pelantikan Ahli Fed Baharu: Potensi Sumber Risiko

Semalam, dolar jatuh sebagai reaksi terhadap berita bahawa Presiden Amerika Syarikat, Donald Trump, telah melantik Pengerusi Majlis Penasihat Ekonomi, Steven Miran, sebagai ahli Lembaga Gabenor Rizab Persekutuan. "Beliau bersama saya

Jakub Novak 10:16 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Pasaran Menuju ke Arah Pembalikan

Strategi TACO — "Trump Always Chickens Out" — mungkin tidak sentiasa memberi kelebihan kepada pasaran saham Amerika Syarikat. Ramai pelabur percaya bahawa Rumah Putih telah memenangi perang perdagangan dengan berjaya

Marek Petkovich 10:06 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Pembahagian dalam Fed tetap tegang

Pada permulaan minggu ini, nampaknya lebih ramai ahli Rizab Persekutuan cenderung kepada pendirian yang lebih perlahan mengenai masa depan kadar faedah. Namun, semalam mereka yang tidak bersetuju dengan pandangan

Jakub Novak 09:53 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Tema Tarif Kekal Mendominasi Pasaran, Permintaan Saham Dijangka Meningkat (Potensi Pemulihan Kontrak #NDX dan #SPX)

Donald Trump meneruskan usaha agresifnya untuk memaksa negara dan benua tunduk kepada Amerika Syarikat sebagai kuasa utama global. Tema tarif terus mendominasi pasaran, menyemarakkan lonjakan volatiliti dan menjadikannya mustahil untuk

Pati Gani 09:24 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Apakah yang Perlu Diberikan Perhatian pada 8 Ogos? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Tiada laporan makroekonomi yang dijadualkan untuk hari Jumaat. Oleh demikian, pergerakan pasaran hari ini berkemungkinan lemah dan tidak bertrend. Namun, adalah penting untuk diingat bahawa Donald Trump

Paolo Greco 06:57 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD – 8 Ogos: Bergantung pada Satu Senario Sahaja – Bank of England Memutuskan untuk Memotong Kadar Faedah

Pada hari Khamis, pasangan mata wang GBP/USD meneruskan pergerakan menaik walaupun latar belakang fundamental secara rasmi menunjukkan sebaliknya. Namun begitu, kami telah memberi amaran bahawa mesyuarat Bank of England —

Paolo Greco 03:31 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Gambaran keseluruhan EUR/USD – 8 Ogos: Awan Tarif Sedang Berkumpul

Pada hari Khamis, pasangan mata wang EUR/USD turun sedikit daripada paras tertinggi baru-baru ini, tetapi pergerakan ini tidak memberi kesan sebenar kepada arah keseluruhan pasangan itu. Walaupun tiada data makroekonomi

Paolo Greco 03:31 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Trump Tidak Akan Berundur — Dan Pasaran Juga Tidak Akan Mengalah

Untuk mengubah dasar yang membawa kepada kemerosotan pasaran buruh tersebut. Lagipun, peserta pasaran jelas memahami bahawa data Senarai Gaji Bukan Ladang telah mengecewakan selama tiga bulan berturut-turut atas sebab tertentu

Chin Zhao 00:49 2025-08-08 UTC+2

Isyarat Pertama yang Membimbangkan dari Fed

Selepas laporan pasaran buruh dan pengangguran yang diterbitkan pada hari Jumaat lalu, jelas bahawa hanya mereka yang terlalu selesa sahaja yang tidak membuat kesimpulan bahawa Rizab Persekutuan akan mula melonggarkan

Chin Zhao 00:49 2025-08-08 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.