Analisis Forex & Kajian: 04.01.2022 - GBP/USD: Corrective growth...

04.01.2022 02:37 PM

GBP/USD: Corrective growth continues

The IHS Markit/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI released today, which measures the business climate and conditions in the UK manufacturing sector, indicated that activity was picking up. This sector forms a significant part of the total UK GDP, and its growth (up to 57.9 in December) is an important positive indicator of the business environment and the general state of the UK economy, and this, in turn, along with high inflation creates conditions when the Bank England may consider raising interest rates again. Economists believe that the pound has the potential to strengthen further amid easing concerns over COVID-19 and the prospect of new interest rate hikes by the Bank of England.

GBP/USD may well break the resistance level of 1.3590 (200-period moving average on the daily chart). If the pair manages to gain a foothold in this zone of the bull market, then the next targets may be the resistance levels 1.3700, 1.3800, and 1.3900. Provided that the Bank of England really decides to raise the interest rate at the meeting on February 3, and the Fed does not at its meeting on January 25 and 26.

Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations

Having tested an important support level (Fibonacci level 23.6% of the correction to the decline of the GBP/USD pair in the wave that began in July 2014 near the level of 1.3200), GBP/USD rebounded from it and rose by 2.3% to the current level of 1.3505, breaking through important resistance level 1.3430 (50 EMA on the daily chart).

Nevertheless, the current growth in GBP/USD should still be viewed as corrective, and the main scenario is still a long-term decline within the bearish trend.

However, to resume short positions, you should still wait for the price to return to the zone below the support level of 1.3410 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), and the breakdown of the support level 1.3440 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart) will be the first signal for this. A breakdown of the local support level 1.3160 will open the way for a decline towards 1.3000, and 1.2700.

In an alternative scenario, the corrective growth of GBP/USD will continue, and its target may be resistance levels 1.3590 (200 EMA on the daily chart), and 1.3600. Their breakdown may signal the end of the downward trend.

Support levels: 1.3440, 1.3430, 1.3410, 1.3375, 1.3300, 1.3210, 1.3160, 1.3000, 1.2865, 1.2685

Resistance levels: 1.3590, 1.3700, 1.3832, 1.3900, 1.3970, 1.4000

Trading recommendations

Sell Stop 1.3450. Stop-Loss 1.3530. Take-Profit 1.3440, 1.3430, 1.3410, 1.3375, 1.3300, 1.3210, 1.3160, 1.3000, 1.2865, 1.2685

Buy Stop 1.3530. Stop-Loss 1.3450. Take-Profit 1.3590, 1.3700, 1.3832, 1.3900, 1.3970, 1.4000

Anda telah pun menyukai siaran hari ini

* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.

Jika anda mempunyai sebarang soalan berkaitan kandungan, sila hubungi editorial-board@instaforex.com

Trading plan

Jurij Tolin,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Lebih banyak artikel daripada pengarang ini

Langganan E-mel

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Pilih carta masa

min

jam

hari

minggu

Mulakan dagangan

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.

Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Bagaimanakah untuk Berdagang Pasangan GBP/USD pada 26 Jun? Petua Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan kepada Pedagang Baharu

Bagaimana Berdagang Pasangan EUR/USD pada 26 Jun? Tip Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan untuk Pedagang Baharu

Cadangan Dagangan dan Analisis untuk GBP/USD pada 26 Jun: Pound Tenang Menanti Saat yang Tepat

Cadangan Dagangan dan Analisis untuk EUR/USD pada 26 Jun: Pergerakan Mendatar dalam Kalendar Kosong

GBP/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi AS pada 25 Jun (Semakan Dagangan Pagi)

EUR/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi AS pada 25 Jun (Ulasan Dagangan Pagi)

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan GBP/USD pada 25 Jun? Tips Mudah dan Analisis Perdagangan untuk Pemula

Bagaimanakah untuk Berdagang Pasangan EUR/USD pada 25 Jun? Petua Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan kepada Pedagang Baharu

Cadangan Dagangan dan Analisis untuk GBP/USD pada 25 Jun: Pound Tidak Mengikut Jejak Euro

Cadangan dan Analisis Dagangan untuk EUR/USD pada 25 Jun: Faktor Teknikal Secara Tidak Dijangka Menghentikan Kejatuhan Dolar

Analisis terbaik