empty
21.07.2022 04:11 PM
GBP/USD analysis on July 21. Scotland has appealed to the Supreme Court to allow the referendum to be held.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave marking for the pound/dollar instrument required clarifications, which were made. The upward wave constructed between May 13 and May 27 does not currently fit into the overall wave picture, but it can still be regarded as a segment of the downward trend. Thus, we can now definitively state that the building of the upward correction phase of the trend has been canceled, and the downward component of the trend will have a longer and more complex shape. I'm not a big fan of continually complicating the wave marking when dealing with a highly elongating trend zone. I believe it would be far more efficient to recognize rare corrective waves, following which new impulse structures can be constructed. Now that waves 1 and 2 have been completed, we may infer that the instrument is in the process of constructing wave 3. However, this wave proved unconvincing (if finished at this time), as its low is not significantly lower than wave 1's low. Consequently, the current downturn cannot be characterized as impulsive, but it may be a complex correction. Focus on the wave marking of the EUR/USD instrument in this regard.

The British no longer have any economic news, but there are others.

The pound and dollar exchange rates declined by 75 basis points on July 21. Although there was no news context for the pound today, it mimicked the euro's actions practically verbatim, which I find pretty odd. The conclusions of the ECB meeting were summarized today in the European Union, and President Christine Lagarde will deliver a speech shortly. Consequently, the sharp and significant euro swings do not raise any concerns. But why did the pound move with the same sharpness and vigor? The question remains open. The most significant reports of the week have already been released in the United Kingdom. Tomorrow, there will be a retail trade report, which is less significant than reports on inflation or unemployment. Nonetheless, there is additional news from Scotland.

Edinburgh has not abandoned the notion of holding a referendum, but it wants to hold a consultative referendum first, for which it must also receive authorization from London. The Scottish National Party, led by Nicola Sturgeon, who promised the Scots a referendum by the end of 2023 but was unable to secure authorization, petitioned the Supreme Court of Great Britain to explain the difficulty of obtaining permission from London. According to reports, if the Supreme Court declines, Sturgeon would push the issue of a referendum to the 2024 general election. In this event, the SNP will make independence from the United Kingdom the central issue in the upcoming election. Therefore, Edinburgh will not forsake the independence referendum, and a change in the British Prime Minister could work in his favor. Boris Johnson categorically rejected any referendum, noting that a referendum had already been held in 2014, and the majority of Scots voted in favor of a union between the United Kingdom and Scotland. But perhaps the incoming Prime Minister will alter the situation.

General observations.

The increased complexity of the wave structure of the pound/dollar pair signals a further downturn. For each "down" MACD signal, I recommend selling the instrument with objectives at the estimated mark of 1.1708, corresponding to 161.8 percent Fibonacci. Now, there is a prospect of an upward wave forming, but I do not anticipate it to be robust and protracted.

This image is no longer relevant

At the higher wave scale, the image closely resembles the euro/dollar instrument. The same ascending wave does not conform to the present wave pattern, followed by the same three descending waves. Thus, one thing is unmistakable: the downward segment of the trend continues to develop and can reach practically any length.

Ringkasan
Segera
Analitic
Alexander Dneprovskiy
Mulakan perdagangan
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Analisis GBP/USD pada 23 Julai 2025

Pola gelombang untuk GBP/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan struktur gelombang kenaikan impulsif. Gambaran gelombang hampir sama dengan EUR/USD, memandangkan dolar AS menjadi satu-satunya faktor yang mendorong pasaran. Permintaan untuk dolar menurun

Chin Zhao 20:25 2025-07-23 UTC+2

Analisis EUR/USD pada 23 Julai 2025

Corak gelombang pada carta 4 jam untuk pasangan EUR/USD kekal tidak berubah selama beberapa bulan. Segmen arah aliran menaik terus terbentuk, sementara latar belakang berita terus menyokong semua mata wang

Chin Zhao 20:17 2025-07-23 UTC+2

Analisis GBP/USD pada 22 Julai, 2025

Corak gelombang untuk GBP/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan struktur gelombang impuls menaik. Konfigurasi gelombang hampir sama dengan EUR/USD, kerana dolar A.S. kekal sebagai satu-satunya pemacu aliran pasaran semasa. Permintaan terhadap dolar

Chin Zhao 20:26 2025-07-22 UTC+2

Analisis EUR/USD pada 22 Julai 2025

Corak gelombang pada carta 4 jam EUR/USD kekal tidak berubah selama beberapa bulan berturut-turut. Pembentukan segmen aliran menaik masih berterusan, manakala latar belakang berita semasa terus menyokong hampir semua mata

Chin Zhao 20:23 2025-07-22 UTC+2

Analisis GBP/USD pada 21 Julai 2025

Corak gelombang pasangan GBP/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan struktur gelombang dorongan menaik. Gambarannya hampir menyerupai apa yang dilihat pada pasangan EUR/USD, memandangkan dolar AS kekal sebagai satu-satunya pemacu utama pergerakan pasaran

Chin Zhao 20:14 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Analisis EUR/USD pada 21 Julai 2025

Pola gelombang pada carta 4 jam EUR/USD tetap tidak berubah selama beberapa bulan. Pembentukan aliran menaik menaik terus berlanjutan, disokong oleh latar belakang berita yang memihak kepada semua mata wang

Chin Zhao 20:06 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Ramalan Mingguan Menggunakan Analisis Gelombang Ringkas kepada GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/JPY, AUD/JPY dan Indeks Dolar USD – 21 Julai

GBP/USD Analisis: Pound British meneruskan pergerakan menurunnya, yang bermula sebulan lalu. Selepas menembusi tahap sokongan pertengahan yang kukuh pada minggu lepas, pasangan mata wang ini membuat lantunan semula, membentuk pembetulan

Isabel Clark 11:22 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Ramalan Mingguan Menggunakan Analisis Gelombang Ringkas untuk EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, dan EMAS – 21 Julai

EUR/USD Analisis: Aliran menaik dalam pasangan mata wang euro utama, yang bermula pada bulan Februari tahun ini, telah membawa kepada harga menetap di sempadan bawah zon pembalikan berpotensi yang luas

Isabel Clark 11:05 2025-07-21 UTC+2

Analisis GBP/USD pada 18 Julai 2025

Pola gelombang untuk GBP/USD terus menunjukkan pembentukan pola impuls menaik. Gambaran gelombang hampir sama dengan EUR/USD, kerana satu-satunya penggerak dinamik pasaran semasa adalah dolar AS. Permintaan terhadap dolar menurun secara

Chin Zhao 21:34 2025-07-18 UTC+2

Analisis EUR/USD pada 18 Julai, 2025

Corak gelombang pada carta 4 jam pasangan EUR/USD kekal tidak berubah selama beberapa bulan. Pembentukan segmen arah aliran menaik masih berterusan, dan latar belakang berita terus menyokong semua mata wang

Chin Zhao 21:21 2025-07-18 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.