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12.01.2023 03:49 PM
EUR/JPY: dynamics scenarios for January 12, 2023

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Amid demand for protective assets, the yen is strengthening today against the dollar and in cross pairs, particularly in the EUR/JPY pair. As of writing, it is trading near the level of 141.00, storming strong support levels 141.45 (144 EMA on the daily chart) and 141.27 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart).

In case of further fall, the target will be the 140.30 key support level (200 EMA on the daily chart). Its breadown and breakdown of the important long-term support level 139.20 (50 EMA and the lower line of the upward trend on the weekly chart) will significantly increase the risks of EUR/JPY moving into the medium-term bear market zone, sending the pair to the 131.70 key support level (200 EMA on the weekly chart).

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A breakdown of the 127.40 support level (200 EMA on the monthly chart) will complete the pair's transition to the long-term bear market zone.

In an alternative scenario, it is logical to assume that near the current round level 141.00, there will be a rebound and growth of EUR/JPY, given also the fact that the pair has already chosen its average intraday volatility of 130–150 points today.

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Growth in the zone above the levels of 141. 27, 141.45 will return the pair to the long-term bull market zone. The immediate growth target in this case is the 142.45 resistance level (50 EMA on the daily chart).

Support levels: 141.00, 140.30, 140.00, 139.20, 139.00, 138.00, 137.30, 137.00

Resistance levels: 141.27, 141.45, 142.00, 142.18, 142.45, 143.00

Alternative scenarios

Sell Stop 140.80. Stop-Loss 141.50. Take-Profit 140.30, 140.00, 139.20, 139.00, 138.00, 137.30, 137.00

Buy Stop 141.50. Stop-Loss 140.80. Take-Profit 142.00, 142.18, 142.45, 143.00, 144.00, 145.00

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