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15.06.2018 08:28 AM
Trading plan for 15/06/2018

USD keeps rallying as a reaction to the hawkish Fed and solid data from the US economy. The currency market yesterday saw massive moves with serious consequences for EUR and USD. The contrast between the Fed's hawkish attitude and the surprisingly dovish position of the ECB gave the impulse to abandon the EUR, and the EUR / USD diverted the market to the appreciation of USD, which did not fully start right after the FOMC decision on Wednesday. In addition, fantastic US retail sales data confirm the optimism of the Federal Reserve.

Overnight the market calms down and realizes less volatility, but the USD slowly continues to rise. Most lose NZD/USD, going down at 0.6950; GBP/USD at 1.3240 is the lowest since May 29. EUR/USD at night remained stable at 1.1560 after yesterday he lost more than 200 pips.

The Chinese stock market feels tensions related to the commercial dispute and Shanghai Composite is losing 0.6% today. Japanese Nikkei is getting better and growing by 0.6%, indirectly with the help of increases in USD/JPY.

USD/JPY analysis for 15/-6/2018:

The Bank of Japan, as expected, maintained the interest rates unchanged at the level of -0.10%. In the statement, the bank indicated the last weakness of inflation, but the outlook for inflation in the future remained unchanged. No surprises were neutral for USD / JPY, but during the session, we see increases in USD / JPY at 110.90 under the influence of broad appreciation of the dollar.

Let's now take a look at the USD/JPY technical picture at the H4 time frame. The market is testing the local high at the level of 110.84 an in a case of a further rally, the next target for bulls is seen at the level of 111.39. The strong momentum is pointing upward as well which supports the bullish bias. The immediate support is seen at the level of 110.71.

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Sebastian Seliga,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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