empty
31.12.2021 04:22 PM
EUR/USD analysis and forecast for December 31, 2021

Today, on the last day of the outgoing year, we will try to summarize the main currency pair of the Forex market and start with the fundamental component. As many of you can well imagine, the US economy is demonstrating a faster pace of recovery from the negative consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, the peak of which I consider to have already passed. The US Federal Reserve System (FRS) has taken tougher and earlier steps to support its national economy. Following the Fed, other leading world central banks have also reached out in this direction, which is not surprising, because most of the other leading world central banks are equal to the steps of the Fed in monetary policy. So the European Central Bank (ECB) launched a program to stimulate the region's economy, but a little later, the situation with the spread of COVID-19 in Europe was very difficult, and at times just critical. However, the United States was also in the lead in the number of daily coronavirus diseases. The current situation with COVID-19, in my personal opinion, is already much calmer than it was about a year ago. The last strain of the virus called "Omicron", according to most virologists, is not as dangerous in terms of the degree of influence and tolerability by the human body as the Delta strain. Nevertheless, as they say, it's too early to relax. However, I want to hope that in the new year the world will be able to cope and overcome the hated COVID.

If we return to the two leading world central banks representing the EUR/USD currency pair, the ECB is primarily remembered for the vague speeches and comments of President Christine Lagarde. Often, the market simply ignored her comments, or the reaction to them was extremely weak. However, it is worth adding to the asset of the European Central Bank that, although with some delay, it still made the necessary adjustments for economic support. Regarding the Fed, it is worth noting the re-election of Jerome Powell for a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve, as well as decisive steps to stimulate economic growth. It is also necessary to pay attention to the fact that by the end of the outgoing year, the Fed's rhetoric was becoming more and more "hawkish", and the number of Fed leaders who spoke in favor of starting tightening monetary policy was steadily increasing. The appointment of Finance Minister Janet Yellen, who led the Fed before Powell, can also be attributed to a very competent step by the administration of US President Joe Biden. In my personal opinion, Janet Yellen is a very competent financier, and with a lot of experience.

Daily

This image is no longer relevant

If we turn to the consideration of the technical picture for the euro/dollar, then there has not been, and there is no significant progress. At yesterday's auction, the quote showed a decline, and the pair was again saved from a more significant downward trend by the red Tenkan line and the blue Kijun line of the Ichimoku indicator. It is also worth noting that, despite the decline, yesterday's trading on EUR/USD again closed above the most important technical level of 1.1300. At the end of the article, the pair is actively leveling the morning decline, and the current daily candle already has a rather big lower shadow and a bullish body. Dear colleagues, today, on the last day of weekly and annual trading, I do not consider it appropriate to give any trading recommendations for opening fresh positions. But I strongly recommend closing open transactions. As long-term experience shows, after the new year, and on the first of January, the market is closed, trading opens with fairly large price gaps, that is, gaps. Please keep this in mind.

Ivan Aleksandrov,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. 12 de março. A guerra comercial entre os EUA e o Canadá está em pleno andamento

Na terça-feira, o par EUR/USD se garantiu acima do nível corretivo de 200,0% em 1,0857 e continuou subindo em direção a 1,0944, que os touros alcançaram com sucesso no final

Samir Klishi 20:05 2025-03-12 UTC+2

GBP/USD. 12 de março. Será que a inflação salvará o dólar?

No gráfico horário, o par GBP/USD na terça-feira se recuperou do nível 1,2865 e subiu acima de 1,2931. Hoje, a consolidação abaixo deste nível favorecerá algum fortalecimento do dólar americano

Samir Klishi 16:46 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Sinais de negociação para o OURO (XAU/USD) para 12-15 de março de 2025: comprar acima de $2.909 (SMA 21 - 8/8 de Murray)

No gráfico de 4 horas, podemos ver que o ouro tem se consolidado abaixo de 2.930 e acima de 2.880-2.890 desde o final de fevereiro. O metal provavelmente tentará romper

Dimitrios Zappas 16:04 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Previsão para o EUR/USD para 12 de março de 2025

Ontem à noite, o euro atingiu o nível-alvo de 1,0949, que corresponde ao pico de julho de 2024, e atualmente não há sinais de reversão no gráfico diário. Um rompimento

Laurie Bailey 15:53 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Previsão para o GBP/USD para 12 de março de 2025

A libra esterlina continua seu movimento de alta em direção ao nível-alvo de 1,3001, que se alinha com a mínima de setembro de 2024. A linha de sinal do oscilador

Laurie Bailey 15:38 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Previsão para o par USD/JPY para 12 de março de 2025

Após testar a linha do canal de preços no gráfico diário, o par USD/JPY se moveu para cima, provavelmente entrando em uma fase corretiva após o movimento de preços iniciado

Laurie Bailey 15:36 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Previsão para o S&P 500 para 12 de março de 2025

Ontem, o índice de ações dos EUA S&P 500 caiu 0,76%, aproximando-se do nível de suporte-alvo de 5516, indicado pela sua sombra inferior. O oscilador Marlin virou para cima

Laurie Bailey 15:28 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento diário de preços gás natural, quarta-feira, 12 de março de 2025

Com o surgimento de uma divergência entre o movimento de preços do instrumento de commodity Gás Natural e o indicador Oscilador Estocástico, enquanto não houver um fortalecimento adicional, especialmente

Arief Makmur 15:25 2025-03-12 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário de preços do par de moedas cruzadas AUD/JPY, quarta-feira, 12 de março de 2025

Se analisarmos o gráfico de 4 horas do par cruzado AUD/JPY, podemos observar alguns aspectos interessantes. Primeiramente, o movimento do preço está dentro do canal Bullish Pitchfork. Em segundo lugar

Arief Makmur 15:14 2025-03-12 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.