empty
 
 
23.07.2024 05:12 PM
XAU/USD. Review and Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

A combination of multiple factors led to a drop in the price of gold today, nearly reaching a weekly low. President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race has increased the chances of Donald Trump becoming the next President of the United States. Additionally, the unexpected interest rate cuts by the People's Bank of China on Monday continue to support optimistic sentiments in the risky market and serve as a key factor hindering the precious metal's role as a safe-haven asset.

Nevertheless, expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September should help limit the losses in non-yielding gold. Moreover, market participants are factoring in the possibility of two more rate cuts by the end of the year. This leads to a further decline in US Treasury bond yields, which keep dollar bulls on the defensive, thereby supporting the yellow metal. Therefore, before preparing to continue the recent pullback from the all-time high, it would be prudent to wait for subsequent stronger selling.

From a technical perspective, the price of gold finds support, attracting some buyers near the breakout point at $2390. This level now coincides with the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and should be a key pivot point. A decisive break below this level could open the way for deeper losses.

This image is no longer relevant

The price could then fall to the base of the mother bar, which broke through the $2390 level, into the area of $2365-2370. A further decline would aim for the 50-day SMA zone at $2350-2360 before potentially dropping to the round level of $2300, with some intermediate support.

This image is no longer relevant

On the other hand, further upward movement will face some resistance around $2415, above which short covering could lift the price to the round level of $2400 in the $2437-2438 zone. Sustained growth beyond the $2400 round level will indicate that the corrective decline has exhausted itself and shifted the short-term bias in favor of the bulls.

A subsequent rally is likely to bring XAU/USD back to the all-time high reached on July 17, with some intermediate resistance.

Irina Yanina,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposite US $ 3.000 em sua conta e receba $4000 mais!
    Em Julho nós sorteamos $4000 na campanha Chancy Deposit!
    Tenha a chance de ganhar, depositando $3,000 em sua conta de negociação. Após cumprir essa condição, você se torna um participante da campanha.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Abasteça a sua conta com pelo menos $500, inscreva-se no concurso e tenha a chance de ganhar dispositivos móveis.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Bônus de 100%
    Sua oportunidade única de receber um bônus de 100% em seu depósito
    RECEBA O BÔNUS
  • Bônus de 55%
    Solicite um bônus de 55% em cada depósito
    RECEBA O BÔNUS
  • Bônus de 30%
    Receba um bônus de 30% toda vez que você fizer um depósito em sua conta
    RECEBA O BÔNUS

Recommended Stories

Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback