empty
02.08.2024 09:07 AM
Hot forecast for EUR/USD on August 2, 2024

Formally, it is reasonable for the dollar to strengthen. After all, the unemployment rate in the eurozone rose from 6.4% to 6.5%. However, the increase was not as substantial as expected since forecasts anticipated a figure of 6.9%. Nonetheless, unemployment still increased. And what's much more important is the Bank of England's decision to lower the base rate, which was also largely expected. Therefore, it was not surprising that the dollar has risen. However, that movement ended even before the eurozone unemployment data was published and a couple of hours before the BoE meeting outcome. This is what's surprising. It indicates excessive speculative pressure, fraught with the growth of imbalances, which are often corrected by sharp and sudden jumps.

Today, given the contents of the United States Department of Labor's report, we should expect the dollar to show a slight weakness. First, this concerns the number of new jobs created outside of agriculture. There are expected to be only 190,000 new jobs, which is the most optimistic forecast. Given the demographic dynamics, it is necessary to create about 250,000 new jobs every month to maintain the stability of the labor market. However, only 532,000 new jobs were created over the last three months. This indicates further growth in unemployment and the inevitability of interest rate cuts, which will undoubtedly put pressure on the U.S. dollar.

This image is no longer relevant

The EUR/USD pair extended the current corrective cycle while the market strengthened its positions on the dollar, breaking through the support level at 1.0800.

On the 4-hour chart, the RSI indicator is moving in the lower area of 30/50, indicating that the bearish sentiment persists in the market.

Regarding the Alligator indicator on the same time frame, the moving average lines point downward, consistent with the downward cycle.

Expectations and Perspectives

Based on the euro's local oversold status, the current downward cycle could be interrupted, leading to an attempt to accumulate long positions. However, the main trigger for today will be the information flow, particularly the report from the United States Department of Labor. Thus, technical analysis is relegated to a secondary role.

Complex indicator analysis points to a retracement in the short term. The indicators point to a corrective cycle in the intraday period.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Pronóstico urgente del par EUR/USD para el 19.11.2024

A juzgar por el modesto crecimiento del euro, existe la sensación de que el dólar aún no ha agotado todo su potencial de crecimiento, a pesar de la increíble sobrecompra

Dean Leo 07:29 2024-11-19 UTC+2

Previsión de última hora del par EUR/USD para el 26.08.2024

El euro se fortaleció frente al dólar estadounidense en casi un 1,5% durante la semana pasada, acercando la cotización al máximo local de la tendencia alcista. El instrumento técnico

Dean Leo 07:44 2024-08-26 UTC+2

Pronóstico urgente del EUR/USD para el 01.07.2024

Ya cerca del cierre de las operaciones del viernes, el dólar comenzó a perder posiciones. Y con la apertura de la sesión asiática de hoy esta tendencia continuó. De hecho

Dean Leo 08:18 2024-07-01 UTC+2

Zonas de Margen e Ideas de Trading para los pares AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD (24.06.2024)

AUD /USD Tendencia a largo plazo: incertidumbre temporal. La máxima acumulación de volúmenes del contrato actual se encuentra en el rango, en las cotizaciones 0,66070-0,66210. En este momento

09:13 2024-06-24 UTC+2

Pronóstico urgente para EUR/USD del 24.06.2024

Se esperaba que los índices de actividad empresarial de la eurozona aumentaran ligeramente, mientras que en Estados Unidos disminuirían ligeramente. Pero no fue así. En Europa disminuyeron, y de forma

Dean Leo 09:04 2024-06-24 UTC+2

Pronóstico para EUR/USD el 20 de noviembre de 2023

No ocurrió mucho al principio, pero el dólar comenzó a perder terreno activamente cuando se abrió la sesión de operaciones en los Estados Unidos. Esto se debió a una serie

Dean Leo 14:16 2023-11-20 UTC+2

Pronóstico candente para GBP/USD el 2 de noviembre de 2023

La Reserva Federal, por ahora, ha sugerido que las subidas de tasas podrían mantenerse en espera durante el resto del año, y esto fue suficiente para impulsar el fuerte crecimiento

Dean Leo 09:09 2023-11-02 UTC+2

USD/JPY extiende su crecimiento como se esperaba

El par USD/JPY subió como se esperaba. He hablado de este escenario en el análisis de ayer. El fuerte crecimiento de DXY y la caída de los futuros

Ralph Shedler 15:25 2023-03-08 UTC+2

Pronóstico actualizado para el GBP/USD el 23/01/2023

La moneda británica siguió subiendo incluso después de que el Reino Unido informara que, en términos anuales, las ventas minoristas generales cayeron un 5,8 %, luego de una caída

Dean Leo 09:20 2023-01-23 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.