empty
19.11.2024 03:41 AM
Trading Recommendations and Trade Analysis for GBP/USD on November 19: The 26th Level Held Firm Against Decline

GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP/USD pair attempted a correction on Monday. The 1.2605-1.2620 zone was tested accurately, followed by a notable rebound. This provided an opportunity for cautious long positions. However, Monday lacked any significant fundamental or macroeconomic events. We continue to believe that the pound's downtrend is not yet over. While the pound has fallen for nearly two months, occasional corrections are expected. The pair has encountered a strong support zone at this point, but significant upward movement would require compelling macroeconomic and fundamental reasons, which are currently absent.

On Wednesday, the pound may find some support. If the UK inflation report exceeds forecasts, the Bank of England may take an even slower approach to cutting interest rates soon. This could serve as a basis for a more substantial rise in the pound. However, in the medium term, we still expect further declines.

On Monday, only one trading signal formed, which took 5-6 hours to form. The price rebounded accurately from the 1.2605-1.2620 area, allowing traders to consider long positions targeting the 1.2691-1.2701 area. After a 30-40-pip movement, a Stop Loss could be moved to breakeven to secure profits.

COT Report

This image is no longer relevant

The COT reports on the British pound show that commercial traders' sentiment has been highly volatile in recent years. The red and blue lines representing the net positions of commercial and non-commercial traders frequently intersect and usually hover near the zero mark. The most recent downward trend coincided with the red line being below zero. Currently, the red line is above zero.

According to the latest COT report, the non-commercial group closed 700 BUY contracts and 11,700 SELL contracts. As a result, the net position of non-commercial traders grew by 11,000 contracts over the week. While the market is not rushing to sell the pound sterling in the medium term, the movements of the past six weeks are encouraging.

The fundamental backdrop still provides no basis for long-term pound purchases, and the pound has a realistic chance of resuming its global downtrend. However, on the weekly timeframe, there is an upward trendline. Until this trendline is broken, long-term expectations of a decline in the pound remain speculative. For now, the pound continues to demonstrate significant resilience against the dollar.

GBP/USD 1-Hour Analysis

This image is no longer relevant

On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair maintains a bearish outlook. The upward trend has been canceled, and further declines in the British pound, both strong and prolonged, are expected. The last correction turned out to be flat and has already ended. A new correction may begin, as the 1.2605-1.2620 zone served as solid support. However, there are still no fundamental reasons to expect a substantial rise in the pound.

For November 19, we highlight the following important levels: 1,2429-1,2445, 1,2516, 1,2605-1,2620, 1,2796-1,2816, 1,2863, 1,2981-1,2987, 1,3050. Senkou Span B (1.2837) and Kijun-sen (1.2713) lines can also be sources of signals. Setting Stop Loss level to breakeven when the price passes 20 pips in the intended direction is recommended. The lines of the Ichimoku indicator may move during the day, which should be considered when determining trading signals.

There is no important data scheduled for Tuesday in the UK, while in the US, there will be reports on building permits and new home construction. We consider these reports secondary and do not expect a strong market response to them.

Chart Explanations:

Support and resistance levels: thick red lines around which movement may end. They are not sources of trading signals.

Kijun-sen and Senkou Span B lines: Ichimoku indicator lines transferred from the 4-hour to the 1-hour timeframe. These are strong lines.

Extreme levels: thin red lines where the price previously rebounded. They are sources of trading signals.

Yellow lines: Trend lines, trend channels, and other technical patterns.

Indicator 1 on COT charts: The net position size for each category of traders.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 9 de mayo. Informes COT (Commitment of Traders, análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La libra se desplomó tras la bajada de tasas

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 9 de mayo. Informes COT (Commitment of Traders, análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La libra se desplomó tras la bajada de tasas

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:46 2025-05-09 UTC+2

EUR/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 9 de mayo. Informes COT (Commitment of Traders, análisis de las operaciones de ayer). El euro vuelve a caer

Ayer se formaron varios puntos de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que ocurrió. En mi pronóstico matutino presté atención al nivel de 1.1269

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:46 2025-05-09 UTC+2

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 7 de mayo. Informes COT (Commitment of Traders, análisis de las operaciones de ayer). Qué esperar del Banco de Inglaterra

Ayer se formaron varios puntos de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que ocurrió. En mi pronóstico matutino presté atención al nivel 1.3335

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:39 2025-05-08 UTC+2

EUR/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 8 de mayo. Informes COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La Fed sigue esperando

Ayer se formaron varios puntos de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que ocurrió. En mi pronóstico matutino presté atención al nivel 1.1379

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:39 2025-05-08 UTC+2

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 2 de mayo. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La libra en una situación complicada

Ayer se formaron varios puntos de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que ocurrió allí. En mi pronóstico matutino presté atención al nivel 1.3282

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:32 2025-05-02 UTC+2

EUR/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 2 de mayo. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). El dólar reacciona a cualquier dato positivo

Ayer se formaron varios puntos de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que ocurrió allí. En mi pronóstico matutino presté atención al nivel 1.1320

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:32 2025-05-02 UTC+2

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 30 de abril. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La libra se prepara para un nuevo salto, pero ¿hacia dónde?

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 30 de abril. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La libra se prepara para un nuevo salto, pero

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:13 2025-04-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 30 de abril. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). El euro se prepara para una fuerte sacudida

Ayer se formó solo un punto de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que sucedió allí. En mi pronóstico de a mañana presté atención

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:13 2025-04-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 29 de abril. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). La libra actualiza el máximo mensual

Ayer se formaron varios puntos de entrada al mercado. Veamos el gráfico de 5 minutos y analicemos lo que ocurrió. En mi pronóstico matutino presté atención al nivel de 1.3342

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:40 2025-04-29 UTC+2

EUR/USD: plan para la sesión europea del 29 de abril. Informes Commitment of Traders COT (análisis de las operaciones de ayer). El euro muestra un ligero crecimiento

Ayer no se formaron puntos de entrada al mercado. Propongo echar un vistazo al gráfico de 5 minutos y analizar lo que ocurrió. En mi pronóstico matutino, presté atención

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:40 2025-04-29 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.