Overview

A sharp rise in GBP/JPY and a breakout of resistance at 188.28 invalidated our bearish view. Rebound from 180.36 is resuming and intraday bias is back on the upside. A further rally towards resistance at 195.86 would be seen again. In case of retreat, we will stay cautiously bullish as long as support at 185.98 holds. The breach of the medium-term trend-line support is taken as a sign of trend reversal. This is supported by bearish divergence condition in the weekly MACD. Also, GBP/JPY was close to key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to the psychological level of 200. A breakout of 174.86 will confirm trend reversal and bring a deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we will be cautious on strong resistance from 199.80/200.00, which can finally bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 187.59; (P) 187.92; (R1) 188.58;